Current numerical weather prediction ensembles point to a daily maximum in Wuhan on May 18 most likely between 24 °C and 26 °C, driven by moderate southerly advection under a subtropical ridge that supplies warm, moist air while partial cloud cover caps peak insolation. This narrow spread produces closely matched market probabilities because small variations in simulated boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression, and timing of any convective initiation can shift the observed high by 1–2 °C. Recent model runs from global and regional centers show limited disagreement, keeping lower and higher outcomes at the fringes. With resolution less than 24 hours away, the next surface observations and updated short-range guidance will directly inform trader reassessment of these temperature thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wuhan il 18 maggio?
La temperatura più alta a Wuhan il 18 maggio?
25°C 29%
24°C 28.5%
26°C 16%
27°C 14%
NUOVO
$15,935 Vol.
NUOVO
$15,935 Vol.
18 mag 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
13%
24°C
23%
25°C
29%
26°C
16%
27°C
14%
28°C or higher
3%
25°C 29%
24°C 28.5%
26°C 16%
27°C 14%
NUOVO
$15,935 Vol.
NUOVO
$15,935 Vol.
18 mag 2026
18°C or below
$420 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$791 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$420 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$791 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,471 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,708 Vol.
13%
24°C
$3,183 Vol.
23%
25°C
$1,591 Vol.
29%
26°C
$2,142 Vol.
16%
27°C
$1,230 Vol.
14%
28°C or higher
$1,200 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current numerical weather prediction ensembles point to a daily maximum in Wuhan on May 18 most likely between 24 °C and 26 °C, driven by moderate southerly advection under a subtropical ridge that supplies warm, moist air while partial cloud cover caps peak insolation. This narrow spread produces closely matched market probabilities because small variations in simulated boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression, and timing of any convective initiation can shift the observed high by 1–2 °C. Recent model runs from global and regional centers show limited disagreement, keeping lower and higher outcomes at the fringes. With resolution less than 24 hours away, the next surface observations and updated short-range guidance will directly inform trader reassessment of these temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$15,935Data di fine
18 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current numerical weather prediction ensembles point to a daily maximum in Wuhan on May 18 most likely between 24 °C and 26 °C, driven by moderate southerly advection under a subtropical ridge that supplies warm, moist air while partial cloud cover caps peak insolation. This narrow spread produces closely matched market probabilities because small variations in simulated boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression, and timing of any convective initiation can shift the observed high by 1–2 °C. Recent model runs from global and regional centers show limited disagreement, keeping lower and higher outcomes at the fringes. With resolution less than 24 hours away, the next surface observations and updated short-range guidance will directly inform trader reassessment of these temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$15,935Data di fine
18 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHCurrent numerical weather prediction ensembles point to a daily maximum in Wuhan on May 18 most likely between 24 °C and 26 °C, driven by moderate southerly advection under a subtropical ridge that supplies warm, moist air while partial cloud cover caps peak insolation. This narrow spread produces closely matched market probabilities because small variations in simulated boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression, and timing of any convective initiation can shift the observed high by 1–2 °C. Recent model runs from global and regional centers show limited disagreement, keeping lower and higher outcomes at the fringes. With resolution less than 24 hours away, the next surface observations and updated short-range guidance will directly inform trader reassessment of these temperature thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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