Recent Iranian moves to formalize control over the Strait of Hormuz through the new Persian Gulf Strait Authority, including transit approvals, passage fees, and proposed cryptocurrency insurance announced on May 18, have kept weekly commercial transits at a fraction of the pre-crisis average of roughly 400 vessels. Ongoing U.S.-Iran tensions, including naval escorts and blockade efforts, continue to limit traffic amid reports of only low double-digit daily crossings in mid-May, with over 1,500 vessels still stranded. Traders view these restrictions and persistent security risks as the primary factors capping volumes near the 20-59 range, while any breakthrough in clearance operations or eased approvals could quickly shift the distribution toward higher brackets.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHow many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 18?
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 18?
20-39 47%
40-59 29%
60-79 25%
<20 23%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 mag 2026
<20
23%
20-39
38%
40-59
29%
60-79
25%
80+
19%
20-39 47%
40-59 29%
60-79 25%
<20 23%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 mag 2026
<20
$1 Vol.
23%
20-39
$22 Vol.
38%
40-59
$0 Vol.
29%
60-79
$0 Vol.
25%
80+
$8 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from May 18, 2026, through May 24, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Recent Iranian moves to formalize control over the Strait of Hormuz through the new Persian Gulf Strait Authority, including transit approvals, passage fees, and proposed cryptocurrency insurance announced on May 18, have kept weekly commercial transits at a fraction of the pre-crisis average of roughly 400 vessels. Ongoing U.S.-Iran tensions, including naval escorts and blockade efforts, continue to limit traffic amid reports of only low double-digit daily crossings in mid-May, with over 1,500 vessels still stranded. Traders view these restrictions and persistent security risks as the primary factors capping volumes near the 20-59 range, while any breakthrough in clearance operations or eased approvals could quickly shift the distribution toward higher brackets.
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from May 18, 2026, through May 24, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Mercato aperto: May 18, 2026, 3:45 PM ET
Volume
$31Data di fine
24 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 18, 2026, 3:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from May 18, 2026, through May 24, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Recent Iranian moves to formalize control over the Strait of Hormuz through the new Persian Gulf Strait Authority, including transit approvals, passage fees, and proposed cryptocurrency insurance announced on May 18, have kept weekly commercial transits at a fraction of the pre-crisis average of roughly 400 vessels. Ongoing U.S.-Iran tensions, including naval escorts and blockade efforts, continue to limit traffic amid reports of only low double-digit daily crossings in mid-May, with over 1,500 vessels still stranded. Traders view these restrictions and persistent security risks as the primary factors capping volumes near the 20-59 range, while any breakthrough in clearance operations or eased approvals could quickly shift the distribution toward higher brackets.
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from May 18, 2026, through May 24, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Volume
$31Data di fine
24 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 18, 2026, 3:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Iranian moves to formalize control over the Strait of Hormuz through the new Persian Gulf Strait Authority, including transit approvals, passage fees, and proposed cryptocurrency insurance announced on May 18, have kept weekly commercial transits at a fraction of the pre-crisis average of roughly 400 vessels. Ongoing U.S.-Iran tensions, including naval escorts and blockade efforts, continue to limit traffic amid reports of only low double-digit daily crossings in mid-May, with over 1,500 vessels still stranded. Traders view these restrictions and persistent security risks as the primary factors capping volumes near the 20-59 range, while any breakthrough in clearance operations or eased approvals could quickly shift the distribution toward higher brackets.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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