Vice President JD Vance has played a central role in recent U.S.-Iran diplomatic efforts, including leading marathon talks in Islamabad in April 2026 that ended without agreement after Iran declined U.S. terms on its nuclear program. As of May 13, Vance publicly stated that negotiations continue to show progress toward ending hostilities while stressing the need to meet President Trump's red line of permanent safeguards against Iranian nuclear weapons. These developments occur amid a fragile ceasefire, with ongoing back-channel contacts and input from Arab partners potentially shaping any follow-up direct meetings between Vance and Iranian officials. Upcoming diplomatic timelines and any shifts in Tehran's positions on verification measures remain key variables for traders assessing near-term engagement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$123,375 Vol.
30 giu 2026
May 31
9%
June 30
26%
$123,375 Vol.
May 31
$50,856 Vol.
9%
June 30
$16,680 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Vice President JD Vance has played a central role in recent U.S.-Iran diplomatic efforts, including leading marathon talks in Islamabad in April 2026 that ended without agreement after Iran declined U.S. terms on its nuclear program. As of May 13, Vance publicly stated that negotiations continue to show progress toward ending hostilities while stressing the need to meet President Trump's red line of permanent safeguards against Iranian nuclear weapons. These developments occur amid a fragile ceasefire, with ongoing back-channel contacts and input from Arab partners potentially shaping any follow-up direct meetings between Vance and Iranian officials. Upcoming diplomatic timelines and any shifts in Tehran's positions on verification measures remain key variables for traders assessing near-term engagement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Volume
$123,375Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Vice President JD Vance has played a central role in recent U.S.-Iran diplomatic efforts, including leading marathon talks in Islamabad in April 2026 that ended without agreement after Iran declined U.S. terms on its nuclear program. As of May 13, Vance publicly stated that negotiations continue to show progress toward ending hostilities while stressing the need to meet President Trump's red line of permanent safeguards against Iranian nuclear weapons. These developments occur amid a fragile ceasefire, with ongoing back-channel contacts and input from Arab partners potentially shaping any follow-up direct meetings between Vance and Iranian officials. Upcoming diplomatic timelines and any shifts in Tehran's positions on verification measures remain key variables for traders assessing near-term engagement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$123,375Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Vice President JD Vance has played a central role in recent U.S.-Iran diplomatic efforts, including leading marathon talks in Islamabad in April 2026 that ended without agreement after Iran declined U.S. terms on its nuclear program. As of May 13, Vance publicly stated that negotiations continue to show progress toward ending hostilities while stressing the need to meet President Trump's red line of permanent safeguards against Iranian nuclear weapons. These developments occur amid a fragile ceasefire, with ongoing back-channel contacts and input from Arab partners potentially shaping any follow-up direct meetings between Vance and Iranian officials. Upcoming diplomatic timelines and any shifts in Tehran's positions on verification measures remain key variables for traders assessing near-term engagement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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