The market's near-certain positioning on 23°C reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum temperature observation for May 16, which aligned precisely with that threshold under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions. Typical May climatology for the region features overnight lows averaging 23–25°C, and recent model guidance from global ensembles showed minimal deviation due to light winds and high humidity suppressing radiative cooling. This outcome matches historical baselines without anomalous cold-air intrusions or cloud-cover reductions that could have driven lower readings. Only a late data revision or reanalysis by the Observatory could alter the result, an event with negligible probability given established verification protocols.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 16 maggio?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 16 maggio?
23°C 100.0%
18°C o inferiore <1%
19°C <1%
24°C <1%
$38,336 Vol.
$38,336 Vol.
16 mag 2026
18°C o inferiore
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C o superiore
<1%
23°C 100.0%
18°C o inferiore <1%
19°C <1%
24°C <1%
$38,336 Vol.
$38,336 Vol.
16 mag 2026
18°C o inferiore
$2,220 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,380 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$676 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,786 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,677 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$3,722 Vol.
100%
24°C
$7,233 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$8,433 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$5,324 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,252 Vol.
<1%
28°C o superiore
$2,634 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's near-certain positioning on 23°C reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum temperature observation for May 16, which aligned precisely with that threshold under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions. Typical May climatology for the region features overnight lows averaging 23–25°C, and recent model guidance from global ensembles showed minimal deviation due to light winds and high humidity suppressing radiative cooling. This outcome matches historical baselines without anomalous cold-air intrusions or cloud-cover reductions that could have driven lower readings. Only a late data revision or reanalysis by the Observatory could alter the result, an event with negligible probability given established verification protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$38,336Data di fine
16 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's near-certain positioning on 23°C reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum temperature observation for May 16, which aligned precisely with that threshold under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions. Typical May climatology for the region features overnight lows averaging 23–25°C, and recent model guidance from global ensembles showed minimal deviation due to light winds and high humidity suppressing radiative cooling. This outcome matches historical baselines without anomalous cold-air intrusions or cloud-cover reductions that could have driven lower readings. Only a late data revision or reanalysis by the Observatory could alter the result, an event with negligible probability given established verification protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$38,336Data di fine
16 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThe market's near-certain positioning on 23°C reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum temperature observation for May 16, which aligned precisely with that threshold under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions. Typical May climatology for the region features overnight lows averaging 23–25°C, and recent model guidance from global ensembles showed minimal deviation due to light winds and high humidity suppressing radiative cooling. This outcome matches historical baselines without anomalous cold-air intrusions or cloud-cover reductions that could have driven lower readings. Only a late data revision or reanalysis by the Observatory could alter the result, an event with negligible probability given established verification protocols.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti