Recent forecasts from the Jinan Meteorological Observatory and global models point to a minimum temperature near 24–26°C on August 27, driven by widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling under the influence of a weakening subtropical high. Higher humidity (near 70–80%) and light northerly winds further moderate overnight drops compared with clearer conditions typical for late August. Model spread in exact timing and intensity of rain creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 19–22°C, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler outcomes that would require stronger advection or clearer skies than currently projected. Updated NMC guidance and regional radar trends through the evening of the 26th will be the key near-term drivers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Jinan il 27 agosto?
19°C 97%
20°C 97%
18°C 95%
21°C 50%
12°C o inferiore
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
28%
15°C
28%
16°C
4%
17°C
9%
18°C
95%
19°C
97%
20°C
97%
21°C
50%
22°C o superiore
50%
19°C 97%
20°C 97%
18°C 95%
21°C 50%
12°C o inferiore
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
28%
15°C
28%
16°C
4%
17°C
9%
18°C
95%
19°C
97%
20°C
97%
21°C
50%
22°C o superiore
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 26, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Jinan Meteorological Observatory and global models point to a minimum temperature near 24–26°C on August 27, driven by widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling under the influence of a weakening subtropical high. Higher humidity (near 70–80%) and light northerly winds further moderate overnight drops compared with clearer conditions typical for late August. Model spread in exact timing and intensity of rain creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 19–22°C, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler outcomes that would require stronger advection or clearer skies than currently projected. Updated NMC guidance and regional radar trends through the evening of the 26th will be the key near-term drivers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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