**Subtropical humidity and typical early-August moisture limit overnight radiational cooling in Miami, positioning trader-implied probabilities strongly toward 76–79 °F lows.** National Weather Service normals list an 78 °F minimum for August 5, while AccuWeather and long-range guidance project overnight readings of 78–81 °F under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms. High dew points and sea-breeze convergence sustain cloud cover that restricts temperature drops, consistent with the recent record-warm July pattern that maintained elevated moisture. Ensemble models show low likelihood of drier, clearer air allowing readings into the mid-70s or below, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on 76–77 °F (53.5 %) and 78–79 °F (40.5 %). Updated NHC/NOAA model runs and local observations will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Miami il 5 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Miami il 5 agosto?
78-79°F 49%
76-77°F 46%
74-75°F 4.5%
72-73°F <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
5 ago 2026
67°F o meno
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
46%
78-79°F
49%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F o superiore
<1%
78-79°F 49%
76-77°F 46%
74-75°F 4.5%
72-73°F <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
5 ago 2026
67°F o meno
$391 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$957 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$344 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$181 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$998 Vol.
5%
76-77°F
$423 Vol.
46%
78-79°F
$1,300 Vol.
49%
80-81°F
$1,516 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$1,010 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$457 Vol.
<1%
86°F o superiore
$1,031 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Subtropical humidity and typical early-August moisture limit overnight radiational cooling in Miami, positioning trader-implied probabilities strongly toward 76–79 °F lows.** National Weather Service normals list an 78 °F minimum for August 5, while AccuWeather and long-range guidance project overnight readings of 78–81 °F under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms. High dew points and sea-breeze convergence sustain cloud cover that restricts temperature drops, consistent with the recent record-warm July pattern that maintained elevated moisture. Ensemble models show low likelihood of drier, clearer air allowing readings into the mid-70s or below, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on 76–77 °F (53.5 %) and 78–79 °F (40.5 %). Updated NHC/NOAA model runs and local observations will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$8,607Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Subtropical humidity and typical early-August moisture limit overnight radiational cooling in Miami, positioning trader-implied probabilities strongly toward 76–79 °F lows.** National Weather Service normals list an 78 °F minimum for August 5, while AccuWeather and long-range guidance project overnight readings of 78–81 °F under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms. High dew points and sea-breeze convergence sustain cloud cover that restricts temperature drops, consistent with the recent record-warm July pattern that maintained elevated moisture. Ensemble models show low likelihood of drier, clearer air allowing readings into the mid-70s or below, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on 76–77 °F (53.5 %) and 78–79 °F (40.5 %). Updated NHC/NOAA model runs and local observations will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,607Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Subtropical humidity and typical early-August moisture limit overnight radiational cooling in Miami, positioning trader-implied probabilities strongly toward 76–79 °F lows.** National Weather Service normals list an 78 °F minimum for August 5, while AccuWeather and long-range guidance project overnight readings of 78–81 °F under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms. High dew points and sea-breeze convergence sustain cloud cover that restricts temperature drops, consistent with the recent record-warm July pattern that maintained elevated moisture. Ensemble models show low likelihood of drier, clearer air allowing readings into the mid-70s or below, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on 76–77 °F (53.5 %) and 78–79 °F (40.5 %). Updated NHC/NOAA model runs and local observations will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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