**Forecast consensus for Shanghai on August 27, 2026, centers on an overnight low of 27–28°C, which accounts for the market’s dominant implied probabilities (27°C at 41%, 28°C at 54%).** Multiple official and model sources, including Chinese meteorological services and international providers, consistently project a daily range of roughly 28–33°C under partly cloudy to light-rain conditions with northeast-to-east winds of 5–15 km/h. High dew points near 25–26°C and elevated humidity (70–90%) limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated despite the calendar date. Light precipitation and persistent cloud cover further suppress temperature drops by reducing clear-sky heat loss, while the urban heat-island effect in Shanghai adds a small warming bias to official station readings. Recent model runs have shown little shift over the past day, with no approaching cold front or significant synoptic change expected before the 27th. This stability reinforces trader positioning around the narrow 27–28°C band, as historical August minima in the region rarely fall below 26°C without a strong northerly surge, and current steering patterns favor continued warm, moist advection.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 27 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 27 agosto?
28°C 54%
27°C 42%
29°C 7%
26°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
27 ago 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
42%
28°C
54%
29°C
7%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 54%
27°C 42%
29°C 7%
26°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
27 ago 2026
23°C or below
$58 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$61 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$65 Vol.
1%
26°C
$64 Vol.
4%
27°C
$953 Vol.
42%
28°C
$641 Vol.
54%
29°C
$3,198 Vol.
7%
30°C
$96 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$106 Vol.
1%
32°C
$222 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$217 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for Shanghai on August 27, 2026, centers on an overnight low of 27–28°C, which accounts for the market’s dominant implied probabilities (27°C at 41%, 28°C at 54%).** Multiple official and model sources, including Chinese meteorological services and international providers, consistently project a daily range of roughly 28–33°C under partly cloudy to light-rain conditions with northeast-to-east winds of 5–15 km/h. High dew points near 25–26°C and elevated humidity (70–90%) limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated despite the calendar date.
Light precipitation and persistent cloud cover further suppress temperature drops by reducing clear-sky heat loss, while the urban heat-island effect in Shanghai adds a small warming bias to official station readings. Recent model runs have shown little shift over the past day, with no approaching cold front or significant synoptic change expected before the 27th. This stability reinforces trader positioning around the narrow 27–28°C band, as historical August minima in the region rarely fall below 26°C without a strong northerly surge, and current steering patterns favor continued warm, moist advection.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$5,680Data di fine
27 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for Shanghai on August 27, 2026, centers on an overnight low of 27–28°C, which accounts for the market’s dominant implied probabilities (27°C at 41%, 28°C at 54%).** Multiple official and model sources, including Chinese meteorological services and international providers, consistently project a daily range of roughly 28–33°C under partly cloudy to light-rain conditions with northeast-to-east winds of 5–15 km/h. High dew points near 25–26°C and elevated humidity (70–90%) limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated despite the calendar date.
Light precipitation and persistent cloud cover further suppress temperature drops by reducing clear-sky heat loss, while the urban heat-island effect in Shanghai adds a small warming bias to official station readings. Recent model runs have shown little shift over the past day, with no approaching cold front or significant synoptic change expected before the 27th. This stability reinforces trader positioning around the narrow 27–28°C band, as historical August minima in the region rarely fall below 26°C without a strong northerly surge, and current steering patterns favor continued warm, moist advection.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,680Data di fine
27 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus for Shanghai on August 27, 2026, centers on an overnight low of 27–28°C, which accounts for the market’s dominant implied probabilities (27°C at 41%, 28°C at 54%).** Multiple official and model sources, including Chinese meteorological services and international providers, consistently project a daily range of roughly 28–33°C under partly cloudy to light-rain conditions with northeast-to-east winds of 5–15 km/h. High dew points near 25–26°C and elevated humidity (70–90%) limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated despite the calendar date. Light precipitation and persistent cloud cover further suppress temperature drops by reducing clear-sky heat loss, while the urban heat-island effect in Shanghai adds a small warming bias to official station readings. Recent model runs have shown little shift over the past day, with no approaching cold front or significant synoptic change expected before the 27th. This stability reinforces trader positioning around the narrow 27–28°C band, as historical August minima in the region rarely fall below 26°C without a strong northerly surge, and current steering patterns favor continued warm, moist advection.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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