Forecast ensembles from the ECMWF and GFS models show tight convergence on an overnight low of 19°C for Shanghai on May 17, directly supporting the market’s 99.4% implied probability for that outcome. Mid-May climatology under neutral spring conditions typically produces Shanghai minima between 17°C and 21°C, shaped by East Asian monsoon maritime air and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. A persistent high-pressure ridge could nudge readings slightly higher, while a passing weak trough or enhanced sea-breeze advection might trim the low by one degree. Traders monitor the next China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF runs for shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns ahead of final resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Shanghai il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più bassa di Shanghai il 17 maggio?
19°C 99.4%
20°C <1%
18°C <1%
16°C <1%
$11,079 Vol.
$11,079 Vol.
17 mag 2026
14°C o inferiore
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
99%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C o superiore
<1%
19°C 99.4%
20°C <1%
18°C <1%
16°C <1%
$11,079 Vol.
$11,079 Vol.
17 mag 2026
14°C o inferiore
$776 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$626 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$563 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$934 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$901 Vol.
1%
19°C
$2,045 Vol.
99%
20°C
$2,433 Vol.
1%
21°C
$913 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$528 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$583 Vol.
<1%
24°C o superiore
$778 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast ensembles from the ECMWF and GFS models show tight convergence on an overnight low of 19°C for Shanghai on May 17, directly supporting the market’s 99.4% implied probability for that outcome. Mid-May climatology under neutral spring conditions typically produces Shanghai minima between 17°C and 21°C, shaped by East Asian monsoon maritime air and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. A persistent high-pressure ridge could nudge readings slightly higher, while a passing weak trough or enhanced sea-breeze advection might trim the low by one degree. Traders monitor the next China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF runs for shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Volume
$11,079Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast ensembles from the ECMWF and GFS models show tight convergence on an overnight low of 19°C for Shanghai on May 17, directly supporting the market’s 99.4% implied probability for that outcome. Mid-May climatology under neutral spring conditions typically produces Shanghai minima between 17°C and 21°C, shaped by East Asian monsoon maritime air and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. A persistent high-pressure ridge could nudge readings slightly higher, while a passing weak trough or enhanced sea-breeze advection might trim the low by one degree. Traders monitor the next China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF runs for shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$11,079Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDForecast ensembles from the ECMWF and GFS models show tight convergence on an overnight low of 19°C for Shanghai on May 17, directly supporting the market’s 99.4% implied probability for that outcome. Mid-May climatology under neutral spring conditions typically produces Shanghai minima between 17°C and 21°C, shaped by East Asian monsoon maritime air and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. A persistent high-pressure ridge could nudge readings slightly higher, while a passing weak trough or enhanced sea-breeze advection might trim the low by one degree. Traders monitor the next China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF runs for shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns ahead of final resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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