Recent forecasts from models and agencies including the Met Office and local observations indicate a mild overnight period for Wellington on August 27, with minimum temperatures likely ranging 10–12°C amid overcast skies, light winds shifting southerly, and patchy rain reducing radiative cooling. These conditions favor the tightly bunched market leaders near 8–11°C, as cloud cover and moisture limit sharp drops below seasonal norms while preventing significant warming. Historical August lows average near 6–8°C, but the current stable pattern and lack of cold-air advection keep probabilities for extremes low, with traders weighing model consensus on exact overnight minima ahead of final observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Wellington il 27 agosto?
15°C o superiore 57%
8°C 36%
10°C 32%
11°C 30%
5°C o inferiore
1%
6°C
12%
7°C
25%
8°C
36%
9°C
26%
10°C
32%
11°C
30%
12°C
5%
13°C
8%
14°C
10%
15°C o superiore
57%
15°C o superiore 57%
8°C 36%
10°C 32%
11°C 30%
5°C o inferiore
1%
6°C
12%
7°C
25%
8°C
36%
9°C
26%
10°C
32%
11°C
30%
12°C
5%
13°C
8%
14°C
10%
15°C o superiore
57%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models and agencies including the Met Office and local observations indicate a mild overnight period for Wellington on August 27, with minimum temperatures likely ranging 10–12°C amid overcast skies, light winds shifting southerly, and patchy rain reducing radiative cooling. These conditions favor the tightly bunched market leaders near 8–11°C, as cloud cover and moisture limit sharp drops below seasonal norms while preventing significant warming. Historical August lows average near 6–8°C, but the current stable pattern and lack of cold-air advection keep probabilities for extremes low, with traders weighing model consensus on exact overnight minima ahead of final observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti