Vitaly Korolev holds a commanding 97% implied probability in the Tver Oblast gubernatorial election market due to his status as acting governor since November 2025, when President Putin appointed him to replace the prior interim leader. Nominated by United Russia and formally registered after party conference support in July 2026, Korolev benefits from the standard advantages of the ruling party’s organizational resources and alignment with federal authorities ahead of the September 18–20 vote. The remaining candidates, including those from LDPR, CPRF, Communists of Russia, A Just Russia, and the Party of Pensioners, trade at minimal levels consistent with historical patterns in Russian regional contests. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome remain limited to major unforeseen developments such as health issues or last-minute disqualifications, though none have materialized in the current cycle.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVitaly Korolev 97.0%
Lyudmila Vorobyova 1.6%
Igor Yakovenko 1.5%
Tatyana Petrova 1.5%

Vitaly Korolev
97%

Lyudmila Vorobyova
2%

Igor Yakovenko
2%

Tatyana Petrova
1%

Sergey Malinkovich
1%

Olga Levina
<1%
Vitaly Korolev 97.0%
Lyudmila Vorobyova 1.6%
Igor Yakovenko 1.5%
Tatyana Petrova 1.5%

Vitaly Korolev
97%

Lyudmila Vorobyova
2%

Igor Yakovenko
2%

Tatyana Petrova
1%

Sergey Malinkovich
1%

Olga Levina
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Tver Oblast gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tver Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tver Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Mercato aperto: Jul 24, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Tver Oblast gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tver Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tver Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Vitaly Korolev holds a commanding 97% implied probability in the Tver Oblast gubernatorial election market due to his status as acting governor since November 2025, when President Putin appointed him to replace the prior interim leader. Nominated by United Russia and formally registered after party conference support in July 2026, Korolev benefits from the standard advantages of the ruling party’s organizational resources and alignment with federal authorities ahead of the September 18–20 vote. The remaining candidates, including those from LDPR, CPRF, Communists of Russia, A Just Russia, and the Party of Pensioners, trade at minimal levels consistent with historical patterns in Russian regional contests. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome remain limited to major unforeseen developments such as health issues or last-minute disqualifications, though none have materialized in the current cycle.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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