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Politica·Medio Oriente

Chi sarà il prossimo Primo Ministro di Israele dopo le prossime elezioni?

icon for Chi sarà il prossimo Primo Ministro di Israele dopo le prossime elezioni?
Politica·Medio Oriente

Chi sarà il prossimo Primo Ministro di Israele dopo le prossime elezioni?

Benjamin Netanyahu 40%

Naftali Bennett 39%

Gadi Eizenkot 11.3%

Avigdor Lieberman 3.5%

Polymarket

$9,467,882 Vol.

Benjamin Netanyahu 40%

Naftali Bennett 39%

Gadi Eizenkot 11.3%

Avigdor Lieberman 3.5%

Polymarket

$9,467,882 Vol.

Benjamin Netanyahu

$751,997 Vol.

40%

Naftali Bennett

$1,408,571 Vol.

39%

Gadi Eizenkot

$749,605 Vol.

11%

Avigdor Lieberman

$658,641 Vol.

3%

Yair Lapid

$514,043 Vol.

1%

Israele Katz

$163,781 Vol.

1%

Itamar Ben Gvir

$339,842 Vol.

<1%

Ayelet Shaked

$547,631 Vol.

<1%

Amir Ohana

$340,462 Vol.

<1%

Benny Gantz

$349,077 Vol.

<1%

Yossi Cohen

$614,863 Vol.

<1%

Yariv Levin

$467,098 Vol.

<1%

Yair Golan

$485,989 Vol.

<1%

Gideon Sa’ar

$726,263 Vol.

<1%

Moshe Feiglin

$520,377 Vol.

<1%

Yoaz Hendel

$541,347 Vol.

<1%

Nir Barkat

$288,316 Vol.

<1%

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments in Israel's multi-party system have kept the race for the next prime minister after the October 2026 Knesset election closely contested, with traders assigning Benjamin Netanyahu and Naftali Bennett nearly identical probabilities. The April formation of the Bennett-led Together alliance with Yair Lapid's Yesh Atid, along with outreach to Gadi Eizenkot's Yashar party, has consolidated opposition support and produced polling leads for the bloc over Likud in projected seats. Netanyahu's position reflects enduring backing from religious and right-wing parties plus his incumbency advantages, while Bennett benefits from perceptions of fresh leadership appeal and coalition-building potential. Eizenkot's 11 percent share underscores his role as a possible swing factor. Shifts in upcoming polls, security developments, or coalition negotiations could widen the gap between the frontrunners before voters decide.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,467,882
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments in Israel's multi-party system have kept the race for the next prime minister after the October 2026 Knesset election closely contested, with traders assigning Benjamin Netanyahu and Naftali Bennett nearly identical probabilities. The April formation of the Bennett-led Together alliance with Yair Lapid's Yesh Atid, along with outreach to Gadi Eizenkot's Yashar party, has consolidated opposition support and produced polling leads for the bloc over Likud in projected seats. Netanyahu's position reflects enduring backing from religious and right-wing parties plus his incumbency advantages, while Bennett benefits from perceptions of fresh leadership appeal and coalition-building potential. Eizenkot's 11 percent share underscores his role as a possible swing factor. Shifts in upcoming polls, security developments, or coalition negotiations could widen the gap between the frontrunners before voters decide.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,467,882
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Chi sarà il prossimo Primo Ministro di Israele dopo le prossime elezioni?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 17 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Benjamin Netanyahu" a 40%, seguito da "Naftali Bennett" a 39%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 40¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 40% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Chi sarà il prossimo Primo Ministro di Israele dopo le prossime elezioni?" ha generato $9.5 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Nov 15, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Chi sarà il prossimo Primo Ministro di Israele dopo le prossime elezioni?", esplora i 17 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Chi sarà il prossimo Primo Ministro di Israele dopo le prossime elezioni?" è "Benjamin Netanyahu" a 40%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 40% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Naftali Bennett" a 39%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Chi sarà il prossimo Primo Ministro di Israele dopo le prossime elezioni?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.