Recent developments, including the one-year anniversary of the August 2025 Alaska summit that failed to produce a Ukraine ceasefire, have reinforced trader expectations of limited near-term progress. Ongoing hostilities, Ukrainian strikes on Russian energy infrastructure, and U.S. sanctions threats tied to stalled negotiations have reduced momentum for a 2026 bilateral meeting. July 2026 phone contacts between the leaders acknowledged the need for future talks but yielded no confirmed schedule or venue. The 62% probability assigned to no meeting by year-end reflects these persistent barriers and the absence of scheduled diplomatic milestones. China’s 31% share stems from its potential role as a neutral third-party host amid broader geopolitical positioning, while U.S. or Russian venues remain unlikely given domestic political constraints and security considerations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoDove si incontreranno Trump e Putin nel 2026?
Dove si incontreranno Trump e Putin nel 2026?
Nessun incontro entro il 31 dicembre 61%
China 35%
United States 2.7%
Gulf country <1%
$472,978 Vol.
$472,978 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Nessun incontro entro il 31 dicembre
61%
China
35%
United States
3%
Gulf country
1%
Russia
1%
Other
1%
Other EU country
1%
Turkey
1%
Switzerland
1%
Finland
<1%
Belarus
<1%
South Korea
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
Japan
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nessun incontro entro il 31 dicembre 61%
China 35%
United States 2.7%
Gulf country <1%
$472,978 Vol.
$472,978 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Nessun incontro entro il 31 dicembre
$91,131 Vol.
61%
China
$61,349 Vol.
35%
United States
$23,529 Vol.
3%
Gulf country
$17,089 Vol.
1%
Russia
$66,304 Vol.
1%
Other
$18,017 Vol.
1%
Other EU country
$15,908 Vol.
1%
Turkey
$24,945 Vol.
1%
Switzerland
$20,533 Vol.
1%
Finland
$21,363 Vol.
<1%
Belarus
$18,731 Vol.
<1%
South Korea
$13,952 Vol.
<1%
Ukraine
$16,698 Vol.
<1%
Japan
$22,163 Vol.
<1%
Australia
$41,264 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent developments, including the one-year anniversary of the August 2025 Alaska summit that failed to produce a Ukraine ceasefire, have reinforced trader expectations of limited near-term progress. Ongoing hostilities, Ukrainian strikes on Russian energy infrastructure, and U.S. sanctions threats tied to stalled negotiations have reduced momentum for a 2026 bilateral meeting. July 2026 phone contacts between the leaders acknowledged the need for future talks but yielded no confirmed schedule or venue. The 62% probability assigned to no meeting by year-end reflects these persistent barriers and the absence of scheduled diplomatic milestones. China’s 31% share stems from its potential role as a neutral third-party host amid broader geopolitical positioning, while U.S. or Russian venues remain unlikely given domestic political constraints and security considerations.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Volume
$472,978Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent developments, including the one-year anniversary of the August 2025 Alaska summit that failed to produce a Ukraine ceasefire, have reinforced trader expectations of limited near-term progress. Ongoing hostilities, Ukrainian strikes on Russian energy infrastructure, and U.S. sanctions threats tied to stalled negotiations have reduced momentum for a 2026 bilateral meeting. July 2026 phone contacts between the leaders acknowledged the need for future talks but yielded no confirmed schedule or venue. The 62% probability assigned to no meeting by year-end reflects these persistent barriers and the absence of scheduled diplomatic milestones. China’s 31% share stems from its potential role as a neutral third-party host amid broader geopolitical positioning, while U.S. or Russian venues remain unlikely given domestic political constraints and security considerations.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$472,978Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent developments, including the one-year anniversary of the August 2025 Alaska summit that failed to produce a Ukraine ceasefire, have reinforced trader expectations of limited near-term progress. Ongoing hostilities, Ukrainian strikes on Russian energy infrastructure, and U.S. sanctions threats tied to stalled negotiations have reduced momentum for a 2026 bilateral meeting. July 2026 phone contacts between the leaders acknowledged the need for future talks but yielded no confirmed schedule or venue. The 62% probability assigned to no meeting by year-end reflects these persistent barriers and the absence of scheduled diplomatic milestones. China’s 31% share stems from its potential role as a neutral third-party host amid broader geopolitical positioning, while U.S. or Russian venues remain unlikely given domestic political constraints and security considerations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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