California's 2nd congressional district features a pronounced Democratic lean rooted in Northern California voter registration patterns and a partisan voting index exceeding D+20. Incumbent Representative Jared Huffman, first elected in 2012, enters the June 2, 2026 top-two primary with established fundraising and institutional support against a limited field of Democratic and Republican challengers. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball designate the seat safe Democratic, reflecting consistent past margins above 30 points. A Republican win remains improbable absent major shifts in national conditions, candidate scandals, or unusually low Democratic turnout that would alter the general election dynamics on November 3, 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
92%
共和党
9%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$0 Vol.
92%
共和党
$416 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 2nd congressional district features a pronounced Democratic lean rooted in Northern California voter registration patterns and a partisan voting index exceeding D+20. Incumbent Representative Jared Huffman, first elected in 2012, enters the June 2, 2026 top-two primary with established fundraising and institutional support against a limited field of Democratic and Republican challengers. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball designate the seat safe Democratic, reflecting consistent past margins above 30 points. A Republican win remains improbable absent major shifts in national conditions, candidate scandals, or unusually low Democratic turnout that would alter the general election dynamics on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$416終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 2nd congressional district features a pronounced Democratic lean rooted in Northern California voter registration patterns and a partisan voting index exceeding D+20. Incumbent Representative Jared Huffman, first elected in 2012, enters the June 2, 2026 top-two primary with established fundraising and institutional support against a limited field of Democratic and Republican challengers. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball designate the seat safe Democratic, reflecting consistent past margins above 30 points. A Republican win remains improbable absent major shifts in national conditions, candidate scandals, or unusually low Democratic turnout that would alter the general election dynamics on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$416終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 2nd congressional district features a pronounced Democratic lean rooted in Northern California voter registration patterns and a partisan voting index exceeding D+20. Incumbent Representative Jared Huffman, first elected in 2012, enters the June 2, 2026 top-two primary with established fundraising and institutional support against a limited field of Democratic and Republican challengers. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball designate the seat safe Democratic, reflecting consistent past margins above 30 points. A Republican win remains improbable absent major shifts in national conditions, candidate scandals, or unusually low Democratic turnout that would alter the general election dynamics on November 3, 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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