**Recent USDA-APHIS confirmations show New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) spreading beyond initial South Texas detections.** The first U.S. case since the 1960s was a calf in Zavala County on June 3, 2026, followed by additional livestock cases (cattle, goats, sheep) across Texas counties including La Salle and Gillespie. By mid-June, confirmed animal cases reached about 12, including in Lea County, New Mexico, with larvae infesting wounds in warm-blooded hosts. Official surveillance via trapping, quarantines in 20 km zones, and sterile insect technique releases aims to contain northward movement from Mexico outbreaks. Key upcoming factors include APHIS dashboard updates on new detections, model consensus on dispersal risk, and any revised case thresholds or geographic criteria that could influence market resolution. Trader sentiment reflects the pace of verified spread versus containment efficacy under active federal response.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
6月30日
23%
8月30日
38%
10月31日
41%
12月31日
44%
$2,413 Vol.
6月30日
$722 Vol.
23%
8月30日
$990 Vol.
38%
10月31日
$316 Vol.
41%
12月31日
$385 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.**Recent USDA-APHIS confirmations show New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) spreading beyond initial South Texas detections.** The first U.S. case since the 1960s was a calf in Zavala County on June 3, 2026, followed by additional livestock cases (cattle, goats, sheep) across Texas counties including La Salle and Gillespie. By mid-June, confirmed animal cases reached about 12, including in Lea County, New Mexico, with larvae infesting wounds in warm-blooded hosts. Official surveillance via trapping, quarantines in 20 km zones, and sterile insect technique releases aims to contain northward movement from Mexico outbreaks. Key upcoming factors include APHIS dashboard updates on new detections, model consensus on dispersal risk, and any revised case thresholds or geographic criteria that could influence market resolution. Trader sentiment reflects the pace of verified spread versus containment efficacy under active federal response.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
マーケット開始日： Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ET
音量
$2,413マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.**Recent USDA-APHIS confirmations show New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) spreading beyond initial South Texas detections.** The first U.S. case since the 1960s was a calf in Zavala County on June 3, 2026, followed by additional livestock cases (cattle, goats, sheep) across Texas counties including La Salle and Gillespie. By mid-June, confirmed animal cases reached about 12, including in Lea County, New Mexico, with larvae infesting wounds in warm-blooded hosts. Official surveillance via trapping, quarantines in 20 km zones, and sterile insect technique releases aims to contain northward movement from Mexico outbreaks. Key upcoming factors include APHIS dashboard updates on new detections, model consensus on dispersal risk, and any revised case thresholds or geographic criteria that could influence market resolution. Trader sentiment reflects the pace of verified spread versus containment efficacy under active federal response.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
音量
$2,413マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Recent USDA-APHIS confirmations show New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) spreading beyond initial South Texas detections.** The first U.S. case since the 1960s was a calf in Zavala County on June 3, 2026, followed by additional livestock cases (cattle, goats, sheep) across Texas counties including La Salle and Gillespie. By mid-June, confirmed animal cases reached about 12, including in Lea County, New Mexico, with larvae infesting wounds in warm-blooded hosts. Official surveillance via trapping, quarantines in 20 km zones, and sterile insect technique releases aims to contain northward movement from Mexico outbreaks. Key upcoming factors include APHIS dashboard updates on new detections, model consensus on dispersal risk, and any revised case thresholds or geographic criteria that could influence market resolution. Trader sentiment reflects the pace of verified spread versus containment efficacy under active federal response.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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