Recent polls from late September show Renato Casagrande (PSB) holding a clear lead for one Espírito Santo Senate seat, while the contest for second place remains fragmented among Sergio Meneguelli (PSD), Fabiano Contarato (PT), Maguinha Malta (PL), Rose de Freitas (MDB), and Evair de Melo (Republicanos). Multiple surveys, including Real Time Big Data and Quaest, place these contenders within margins of error of one another, with shares typically ranging from 6-13% in consolidated first-and-second preference scenarios. High rejection rates for several names and substantial undecided voters sustain the technical tie. The October 4 election timing leaves limited room for further separation before voters select both senators.
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