The market's decisive 100% implied probability on a 12°C high for Amsterdam on May 16 reflects the official maximum temperature recorded at the city's primary meteorological station, as reported by the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI). With the observation period now complete, real-time surface data and quality-controlled readings have locked in this value, leaving no room for further atmospheric shifts. Traders recognize that post-event verification eliminates forecast uncertainty, though rare revisions from station calibration checks or micro-climate adjustments could theoretically alter the final figure if discrepancies emerge in the next few days.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 16?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 16?
12°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$42,336 Vol.
$42,336 Vol.
2026/05/16
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$42,336 Vol.
$42,336 Vol.
2026/05/16
8°C or below
$1,863 Vol.
No
9°C
$1,389 Vol.
No
10°C
$2,202 Vol.
No
11°C
$3,186 Vol.
No
12°C
$9,705 Vol.
Yes
13°C
$6,997 Vol.
No
14°C
$6,323 Vol.
No
15°C
$4,399 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,835 Vol.
No
17°C
$1,381 Vol.
No
18°C or higher
$3,057 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's decisive 100% implied probability on a 12°C high for Amsterdam on May 16 reflects the official maximum temperature recorded at the city's primary meteorological station, as reported by the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI). With the observation period now complete, real-time surface data and quality-controlled readings have locked in this value, leaving no room for further atmospheric shifts. Traders recognize that post-event verification eliminates forecast uncertainty, though rare revisions from station calibration checks or micro-climate adjustments could theoretically alter the final figure if discrepancies emerge in the next few days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 14, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
音量
$42,336終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 12:47 AM ET提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's decisive 100% implied probability on a 12°C high for Amsterdam on May 16 reflects the official maximum temperature recorded at the city's primary meteorological station, as reported by the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI). With the observation period now complete, real-time surface data and quality-controlled readings have locked in this value, leaving no room for further atmospheric shifts. Traders recognize that post-event verification eliminates forecast uncertainty, though rare revisions from station calibration checks or micro-climate adjustments could theoretically alter the final figure if discrepancies emerge in the next few days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$42,336終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 12:47 AM ET提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
The market's decisive 100% implied probability on a 12°C high for Amsterdam on May 16 reflects the official maximum temperature recorded at the city's primary meteorological station, as reported by the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI). With the observation period now complete, real-time surface data and quality-controlled readings have locked in this value, leaving no room for further atmospheric shifts. Traders recognize that post-event verification eliminates forecast uncertainty, though rare revisions from station calibration checks or micro-climate adjustments could theoretically alter the final figure if discrepancies emerge in the next few days.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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