The National Weather Service forecast for Austin on May 15 projects a high temperature near 92°F under a dominant high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, with light south winds of 5-10 mph aiding daytime heating above the climatological May normal of 86°F. Recent developments, including a multi-day heat buildup across Central Texas with highs already exceeding 90°F this week, have solidified model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing minimal divergence. Trader-implied odds at 92.5% for 86°F or higher capture this strong scientific alignment, though realistic challenges like unexpected marine layer clouds or isolated pre-frontal showers could cap peaks in the low 80s; monitor NWS updates through midday for refinements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Austin on May 15?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 15?
86°F or higher 94%
84-85°F 5.1%
82-83°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
新規
$27,177 Vol.
新規
$27,177 Vol.
2026/05/15
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
5%
86°F or higher
94%
86°F or higher 94%
84-85°F 5.1%
82-83°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
新規
$27,177 Vol.
新規
$27,177 Vol.
2026/05/15
67°F or below
$5,660 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$3,766 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$9,658 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$1,926 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$2,177 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$878 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$1,046 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$623 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$444 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$371 Vol.
5%
86°F or higher
$628 Vol.
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service forecast for Austin on May 15 projects a high temperature near 92°F under a dominant high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, with light south winds of 5-10 mph aiding daytime heating above the climatological May normal of 86°F. Recent developments, including a multi-day heat buildup across Central Texas with highs already exceeding 90°F this week, have solidified model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing minimal divergence. Trader-implied odds at 92.5% for 86°F or higher capture this strong scientific alignment, though realistic challenges like unexpected marine layer clouds or isolated pre-frontal showers could cap peaks in the low 80s; monitor NWS updates through midday for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
音量
$27,177終了日
2026/05/15マーケット開始日
May 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service forecast for Austin on May 15 projects a high temperature near 92°F under a dominant high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, with light south winds of 5-10 mph aiding daytime heating above the climatological May normal of 86°F. Recent developments, including a multi-day heat buildup across Central Texas with highs already exceeding 90°F this week, have solidified model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing minimal divergence. Trader-implied odds at 92.5% for 86°F or higher capture this strong scientific alignment, though realistic challenges like unexpected marine layer clouds or isolated pre-frontal showers could cap peaks in the low 80s; monitor NWS updates through midday for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$27,177終了日
2026/05/15マーケット開始日
May 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ETThe National Weather Service forecast for Austin on May 15 projects a high temperature near 92°F under a dominant high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, with light south winds of 5-10 mph aiding daytime heating above the climatological May normal of 86°F. Recent developments, including a multi-day heat buildup across Central Texas with highs already exceeding 90°F this week, have solidified model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing minimal divergence. Trader-implied odds at 92.5% for 86°F or higher capture this strong scientific alignment, though realistic challenges like unexpected marine layer clouds or isolated pre-frontal showers could cap peaks in the low 80s; monitor NWS updates through midday for refinements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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