National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to Austin highs near 89°F on May 16 under a building upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime heating, positioning 88-89°F (32%) narrowly ahead of 90°F or higher (27%) in trader sentiment. Close odds reflect uncertainty in differentiating factors like afternoon cumulus cloud formation, southwesterly boundary layer winds mixing heat downward, and peak solar insolation timing at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport—the official observing site. Climatological May 16 normals average 86°F, but rain-free conditions through the weekend favor above-normal readings. New 00Z/12Z GFS and ECMWF runs on May 15 could sharpen this spread.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Austin on May 16?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 16?
90°F or higher 46%
88-89°F 30%
86-87°F 13%
84-85°F 8%
新規
$10,879 Vol.
新規
$10,879 Vol.
2026/05/16
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
13%
88-89°F
30%
90°F or higher
46%
90°F or higher 46%
88-89°F 30%
86-87°F 13%
84-85°F 8%
新規
$10,879 Vol.
新規
$10,879 Vol.
2026/05/16
71°F or below
$4,889 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$2,013 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$2,013 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$2,107 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$720 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$517 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$77 Vol.
4%
84-85°F
$22 Vol.
8%
86-87°F
$135 Vol.
13%
88-89°F
$246 Vol.
30%
90°F or higher
$142 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to Austin highs near 89°F on May 16 under a building upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime heating, positioning 88-89°F (32%) narrowly ahead of 90°F or higher (27%) in trader sentiment. Close odds reflect uncertainty in differentiating factors like afternoon cumulus cloud formation, southwesterly boundary layer winds mixing heat downward, and peak solar insolation timing at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport—the official observing site. Climatological May 16 normals average 86°F, but rain-free conditions through the weekend favor above-normal readings. New 00Z/12Z GFS and ECMWF runs on May 15 could sharpen this spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
音量
$10,879終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to Austin highs near 89°F on May 16 under a building upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime heating, positioning 88-89°F (32%) narrowly ahead of 90°F or higher (27%) in trader sentiment. Close odds reflect uncertainty in differentiating factors like afternoon cumulus cloud formation, southwesterly boundary layer winds mixing heat downward, and peak solar insolation timing at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport—the official observing site. Climatological May 16 normals average 86°F, but rain-free conditions through the weekend favor above-normal readings. New 00Z/12Z GFS and ECMWF runs on May 15 could sharpen this spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$10,879終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ETNational Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to Austin highs near 89°F on May 16 under a building upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime heating, positioning 88-89°F (32%) narrowly ahead of 90°F or higher (27%) in trader sentiment. Close odds reflect uncertainty in differentiating factors like afternoon cumulus cloud formation, southwesterly boundary layer winds mixing heat downward, and peak solar insolation timing at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport—the official observing site. Climatological May 16 normals average 86°F, but rain-free conditions through the weekend favor above-normal readings. New 00Z/12Z GFS and ECMWF runs on May 15 could sharpen this spread.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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