The overwhelming market consensus at 100.0% for a 100–101°F high in Dallas on August 4 reflects official National Weather Service observations confirming that peak temperature range from the primary Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport station. Clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating under a persistent upper-level ridge produced classic summer conditions, pushing the mercury precisely into that bin without exceeding it. Historical climatology for early August shows typical highs near 96–98°F, making this outcome a modest but well-supported deviation consistent with recent model guidance. Only an unlikely post-event station data revision or reclassification could alter resolution, underscoring how real-time observational thresholds anchor trader positioning in temperature markets.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月4日のダラスの最高気温は?
100~101°F 100.0%
97°F以下 <1%
98〜99°F <1%
102〜103°F <1%
$35,224 Vol.
$35,224 Vol.
97°F以下
<1%
98〜99°F
<1%
100~101°F
100%
102〜103°F
<1%
104~105°F
<1%
106〜107°F
<1%
108〜109°F
<1%
110〜111°F
<1%
112〜113°F
<1%
114~115°F
<1%
116°F以上
<1%
100~101°F 100.0%
97°F以下 <1%
98〜99°F <1%
102〜103°F <1%
$35,224 Vol.
$35,224 Vol.
97°F以下
<1%
98〜99°F
<1%
100~101°F
100%
102〜103°F
<1%
104~105°F
<1%
106〜107°F
<1%
108〜109°F
<1%
110〜111°F
<1%
112〜113°F
<1%
114~115°F
<1%
116°F以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The overwhelming market consensus at 100.0% for a 100–101°F high in Dallas on August 4 reflects official National Weather Service observations confirming that peak temperature range from the primary Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport station. Clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating under a persistent upper-level ridge produced classic summer conditions, pushing the mercury precisely into that bin without exceeding it. Historical climatology for early August shows typical highs near 96–98°F, making this outcome a modest but well-supported deviation consistent with recent model guidance. Only an unlikely post-event station data revision or reclassification could alter resolution, underscoring how real-time observational thresholds anchor trader positioning in temperature markets.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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