Forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate a daytime maximum near 27°C in Moscow on August 5, driven by moderate high-pressure influence and limited moisture advection that caps convective heating while allowing surface warming under partly cloudy skies. Recent observations show highs of 28–31°C on preceding days, with the current pattern reflecting a slight cooling shift as a weak frontal boundary approaches from the northwest. This positions 27°C as the market favorite at 62% implied probability, ahead of 26°C or 28°C, consistent with ensemble consensus and historical August variability around the 22–24°C climatological mean. Official monitoring by Roshydromet will confirm the daily maximum against resolution thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月5日のモスクワの最高気温は?
27°C 61%
28°C 20%
26°C 19%
29°C 3%
$13,506 Vol.
$13,506 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
19%
27°C
61%
28°C
20%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33℃以上
<1%
27°C 61%
28°C 20%
26°C 19%
29°C 3%
$13,506 Vol.
$13,506 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
19%
27°C
61%
28°C
20%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate a daytime maximum near 27°C in Moscow on August 5, driven by moderate high-pressure influence and limited moisture advection that caps convective heating while allowing surface warming under partly cloudy skies. Recent observations show highs of 28–31°C on preceding days, with the current pattern reflecting a slight cooling shift as a weak frontal boundary approaches from the northwest. This positions 27°C as the market favorite at 62% implied probability, ahead of 26°C or 28°C, consistent with ensemble consensus and historical August variability around the 22–24°C climatological mean. Official monitoring by Roshydromet will confirm the daily maximum against resolution thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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