Latest numerical weather models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service converge on a peak daytime temperature of 31°C in Tel Aviv on August 30, driven by typical late-summer subtropical high pressure, moderate westerly winds near 10-15 km/h, and partly cloudy skies that limit full solar heating while allowing some moisture for scattered light showers. This aligns with historical August climatology of 30-32°C highs and explains the market's strong 65% implied probability for 31°C versus 24.5% for 32°C. Minor model spread around afternoon maxima near 30-32°C reflects small uncertainties in cloud timing and sea-breeze effects, with final official readings from Tel Aviv stations determining resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のテルアビブの最高気温は?
31°C 65%
32°C 25%
30°C 9%
29°C 2%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
9%
31°C
65%
32°C
25%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 65%
32°C 25%
30°C 9%
29°C 2%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
9%
31°C
65%
32°C
25%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service converge on a peak daytime temperature of 31°C in Tel Aviv on August 30, driven by typical late-summer subtropical high pressure, moderate westerly winds near 10-15 km/h, and partly cloudy skies that limit full solar heating while allowing some moisture for scattered light showers. This aligns with historical August climatology of 30-32°C highs and explains the market's strong 65% implied probability for 31°C versus 24.5% for 32°C. Minor model spread around afternoon maxima near 30-32°C reflects small uncertainties in cloud timing and sea-breeze effects, with final official readings from Tel Aviv stations determining resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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