Recent forecast models from sources including the BBC and extended-range outlooks place Wuhan's June 17 maximum near 33°C, aligning with the market's leading 32–34°C outcomes and reflecting mid-June seasonal warming across central China. This period typically sees daily highs climbing from late-spring averages near 28–30°C toward 31–34°C under strengthening subtropical ridge influence and reduced monsoon rainfall frequency, though scattered convection or variable cloud cover can trim peaks by 1–2°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest at this lead time, with limited downside risk below 31°C and only modest upside potential above 35°C absent a strong heat surge. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture that ultimately determine the exact daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月17日の武漢の最高気温は?
33℃ 32%
32℃ 20%
34°C 20%
31℃ 10%
28℃以下
1%
29°C
2%
30℃
5%
31℃
10%
32℃
20%
33℃
32%
34°C
21%
35°C
10%
36℃
8%
37℃
3%
38℃以上
1%
33℃ 32%
32℃ 20%
34°C 20%
31℃ 10%
28℃以下
1%
29°C
2%
30℃
5%
31℃
10%
32℃
20%
33℃
32%
34°C
21%
35°C
10%
36℃
8%
37℃
3%
38℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from sources including the BBC and extended-range outlooks place Wuhan's June 17 maximum near 33°C, aligning with the market's leading 32–34°C outcomes and reflecting mid-June seasonal warming across central China. This period typically sees daily highs climbing from late-spring averages near 28–30°C toward 31–34°C under strengthening subtropical ridge influence and reduced monsoon rainfall frequency, though scattered convection or variable cloud cover can trim peaks by 1–2°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest at this lead time, with limited downside risk below 31°C and only modest upside potential above 35°C absent a strong heat surge. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture that ultimately determine the exact daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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