Traders assigned 100% implied probability to a high of 32°C or higher in Zhengzhou on August 26 because official station observations recorded a peak of 34°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with daytime temperatures climbing steadily under variable cloud cover and light northeasterly winds. Historical climatology for the region shows August maxima frequently reaching the low-to-mid 30s, supported by consistent model guidance and surface data from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration. While sensor calibration issues or microclimate differences at specific reporting sites could theoretically alter the official figure, the multi-station consensus and alignment with surrounding days’ readings make such revisions improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日の鄭州の最高気温は?
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$6,273 Vol.
$6,273 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$6,273 Vol.
$6,273 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 25, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Traders assigned 100% implied probability to a high of 32°C or higher in Zhengzhou on August 26 because official station observations recorded a peak of 34°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with daytime temperatures climbing steadily under variable cloud cover and light northeasterly winds. Historical climatology for the region shows August maxima frequently reaching the low-to-mid 30s, supported by consistent model guidance and surface data from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration. While sensor calibration issues or microclimate differences at specific reporting sites could theoretically alter the official figure, the multi-station consensus and alignment with surrounding days’ readings make such revisions improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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