Traders have priced the highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 29 at 32°C or above with near-certainty due to the city's typical late-summer monsoon climate, where mean daily highs reach 31–33°C and recent model guidance points to afternoon peaks near or above that threshold under partly cloudy, stable conditions. Official climatology shows August maxima averaging 31°C with frequent excursions to 32–35°C, while current observations and short-term forecasts align with this pattern amid moderate humidity and light northerly winds. The overwhelming market consensus reflects this established seasonal baseline and lack of strong cooling signals. A realistic shift would require an unexpected frontal passage or rapid increase in cloud cover and precipitation capable of suppressing the diurnal maximum below 32°C, though such developments appear inconsistent with the latest agency guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日の鄭州の最高気温は?
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$6,247 Vol.
$6,247 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
100%
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$6,247 Vol.
$6,247 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders have priced the highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 29 at 32°C or above with near-certainty due to the city's typical late-summer monsoon climate, where mean daily highs reach 31–33°C and recent model guidance points to afternoon peaks near or above that threshold under partly cloudy, stable conditions. Official climatology shows August maxima averaging 31°C with frequent excursions to 32–35°C, while current observations and short-term forecasts align with this pattern amid moderate humidity and light northerly winds. The overwhelming market consensus reflects this established seasonal baseline and lack of strong cooling signals. A realistic shift would require an unexpected frontal passage or rapid increase in cloud cover and precipitation capable of suppressing the diurnal maximum below 32°C, though such developments appear inconsistent with the latest agency guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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