Official meteorological stations in Zhengzhou recorded a daily maximum of 27°C on September 12 under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity that limited further diurnal heating. This aligns with mid-September climatology for the North China Plain, where typical highs range 24–29°C absent strong advection or clear-sky radiative forcing. Real-time model consensus and surface observations converged on this value, driving the market-implied probability for 27°C to 100%. Late revisions to official maxima or unrepresentative microclimate readings remain theoretically possible but unlikely given consistent multi-station data and the close of the observation window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月12日の鄭州の最高気温は?
27℃ 100.0%
22℃以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24℃ <1%
$5,401 Vol.
$5,401 Vol.
22℃以下
いいえ
23°C
いいえ
24℃
いいえ
25°C
いいえ
26℃
いいえ
27℃
はい
28℃
いいえ
29℃
いいえ
30℃
いいえ
31°C
いいえ
32℃以上
いいえ
27℃ 100.0%
22℃以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24℃ <1%
$5,401 Vol.
$5,401 Vol.
22℃以下
いいえ
23°C
いいえ
24℃
いいえ
25°C
いいえ
26℃
いいえ
27℃
はい
28℃
いいえ
29℃
いいえ
30℃
いいえ
31°C
いいえ
32℃以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 11, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Official meteorological stations in Zhengzhou recorded a daily maximum of 27°C on September 12 under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity that limited further diurnal heating. This aligns with mid-September climatology for the North China Plain, where typical highs range 24–29°C absent strong advection or clear-sky radiative forcing. Real-time model consensus and surface observations converged on this value, driving the market-implied probability for 27°C to 100%. Late revisions to official maxima or unrepresentative microclimate readings remain theoretically possible but unlikely given consistent multi-station data and the close of the observation window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問