Amir Ohana holds the clearest lead in the Likud primary for Knesset candidate slots, reflecting consistent polling among registered party members that places him well ahead of other contenders. Recent internal surveys show him topping preferences for the national list, supported by his role as Knesset Speaker and visibility in party structures ahead of the August 17 voting window. Netanyahu’s expanded reserved slots have intensified competition for the remaining positions, yet this has not shifted the frontrunner status in member surveys. Lower-priced outcomes such as Tally Gotliv, Yariv Levin, Eli Cohen, and Boaz Bismuth align with their secondary standing in the same polls, while the slim probability assigned to no primary reflects the confirmed schedule despite ongoing procedural disputes. Traders appear to price in these member-driven dynamics and the single-day vote as the decisive factors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日アミール・オハナ 81%
タリー・ゴットリブ 6.0%
ヤリブ・レヴィン 5.9%
エリ・コーヘン 5.1%
$60,775 Vol.
$60,775 Vol.
2026/10/26
アミール・オハナ
81%
タリー・ゴットリブ
6%
ヤリブ・レヴィン
6%
エリ・コーヘン
5%
クネセト選挙まで予備選なし
2%
ボアズ・ビスマス
1%
ミリ・レゲブ
1%
シュロモ・カルヒ
1%
イスラエル・カッツ
1%
モシェ・サアダ
1%
ダビッド・アムサレム
1%
アルモグ・コーヘン
1%
アミハイ・チクリ
1%
ニル・バルカット
<1%
ヨアヴ・キッシュ
<1%
ミキ・ゾハル
<1%
ダビド・ビタン
<1%
アミール・オハナ 81%
タリー・ゴットリブ 6.0%
ヤリブ・レヴィン 5.9%
エリ・コーヘン 5.1%
$60,775 Vol.
$60,775 Vol.
2026/10/26
アミール・オハナ
$19,298 Vol.
81%
タリー・ゴットリブ
$13,081 Vol.
6%
ヤリブ・レヴィン
$3,909 Vol.
6%
エリ・コーヘン
$1,556 Vol.
5%
クネセト選挙まで予備選なし
$9,710 Vol.
2%
ボアズ・ビスマス
$1,287 Vol.
1%
ミリ・レゲブ
$655 Vol.
1%
シュロモ・カルヒ
$1,016 Vol.
1%
イスラエル・カッツ
$2,245 Vol.
1%
モシェ・サアダ
$882 Vol.
1%
ダビッド・アムサレム
$832 Vol.
1%
アルモグ・コーヘン
$909 Vol.
1%
アミハイ・チクリ
$910 Vol.
1%
ニル・バルカット
$2,180 Vol.
<1%
ヨアヴ・キッシュ
$841 Vol.
<1%
ミキ・ゾハル
$667 Vol.
<1%
ダビド・ビタン
$800 Vol.
<1%
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.Amir Ohana holds the clearest lead in the Likud primary for Knesset candidate slots, reflecting consistent polling among registered party members that places him well ahead of other contenders. Recent internal surveys show him topping preferences for the national list, supported by his role as Knesset Speaker and visibility in party structures ahead of the August 17 voting window. Netanyahu’s expanded reserved slots have intensified competition for the remaining positions, yet this has not shifted the frontrunner status in member surveys. Lower-priced outcomes such as Tally Gotliv, Yariv Levin, Eli Cohen, and Boaz Bismuth align with their secondary standing in the same polls, while the slim probability assigned to no primary reflects the confirmed schedule despite ongoing procedural disputes. Traders appear to price in these member-driven dynamics and the single-day vote as the decisive factors.
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
マーケット開始日： Jul 21, 2026, 7:34 PM ET
音量
$60,775終了日
2026/10/26マーケット開始日
Jul 21, 2026, 7:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.Amir Ohana holds the clearest lead in the Likud primary for Knesset candidate slots, reflecting consistent polling among registered party members that places him well ahead of other contenders. Recent internal surveys show him topping preferences for the national list, supported by his role as Knesset Speaker and visibility in party structures ahead of the August 17 voting window. Netanyahu’s expanded reserved slots have intensified competition for the remaining positions, yet this has not shifted the frontrunner status in member surveys. Lower-priced outcomes such as Tally Gotliv, Yariv Levin, Eli Cohen, and Boaz Bismuth align with their secondary standing in the same polls, while the slim probability assigned to no primary reflects the confirmed schedule despite ongoing procedural disputes. Traders appear to price in these member-driven dynamics and the single-day vote as the decisive factors.
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
音量
$60,775終了日
2026/10/26マーケット開始日
Jul 21, 2026, 7:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Amir Ohana holds the clearest lead in the Likud primary for Knesset candidate slots, reflecting consistent polling among registered party members that places him well ahead of other contenders. Recent internal surveys show him topping preferences for the national list, supported by his role as Knesset Speaker and visibility in party structures ahead of the August 17 voting window. Netanyahu’s expanded reserved slots have intensified competition for the remaining positions, yet this has not shifted the frontrunner status in member surveys. Lower-priced outcomes such as Tally Gotliv, Yariv Levin, Eli Cohen, and Boaz Bismuth align with their secondary standing in the same polls, while the slim probability assigned to no primary reflects the confirmed schedule despite ongoing procedural disputes. Traders appear to price in these member-driven dynamics and the single-day vote as the decisive factors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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