Current forecast models, including GFS runs, project a stable high-pressure regime over Busan on September 16 with northeast winds of 10–17 mph, partly cloudy skies, and no significant frontal passages or moisture influx. This setup supports overnight radiative cooling leading to a minimum near 20–22°C, aligning with climatological September lows of about 21°C. Trader balance between the 25°C-or-higher and 15°C-or-below outcomes stems from model spread in exact minimum timing and boundary-layer mixing, with recent observations showing consistent 21–22°C readings and limited diurnal variability. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours will likely narrow resolution criteria around these thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月16日の釜山の最低気温は?
15℃以下 98%
25℃以上 98%
20℃ 40%
21℃ 40%
15℃以下
98%
16℃
39%
17°C
39%
18℃
21%
19℃
39%
20℃
40%
21℃
40%
22°C
39%
23℃
39%
24℃
39%
25℃以上
98%
15℃以下 98%
25℃以上 98%
20℃ 40%
21℃ 40%
15℃以下
98%
16℃
39%
17°C
39%
18℃
21%
19℃
39%
20℃
40%
21℃
40%
22°C
39%
23℃
39%
24℃
39%
25℃以上
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models, including GFS runs, project a stable high-pressure regime over Busan on September 16 with northeast winds of 10–17 mph, partly cloudy skies, and no significant frontal passages or moisture influx. This setup supports overnight radiative cooling leading to a minimum near 20–22°C, aligning with climatological September lows of about 21°C. Trader balance between the 25°C-or-higher and 15°C-or-below outcomes stems from model spread in exact minimum timing and boundary-layer mixing, with recent observations showing consistent 21–22°C readings and limited diurnal variability. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours will likely narrow resolution criteria around these thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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