Trader consensus heavily favors 76-77°F for Miami’s daily minimum on August 4, 2026, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance showing overnight lows near that range under partly cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and typical early-August subtropical humidity. High moisture content and sea-breeze influences suppress nocturnal radiational cooling, keeping readings close to or slightly below the 78°F climatological average while preventing deeper drops. Recent observations from Miami International Airport align with this pattern, as persistent cloud cover and warm Gulf moisture limit temperature falls. Clearer skies or an unexpected drier air mass intrusion could allow readings into the mid-70s, though current model consensus assigns low probability to such shifts before the minimum is recorded.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月4日のマイアミの最低気温は？
8月4日のマイアミの最低気温は？
76-77°F 99%
74-75°F 2%
70-71°F <1%
69°F or below <1%
$14,283 Vol.
$14,283 Vol.
2026/08/04
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
99%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 99%
74-75°F 2%
70-71°F <1%
69°F or below <1%
$14,283 Vol.
$14,283 Vol.
2026/08/04
69°F or below
$567 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$1,988 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$1,595 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$1,097 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$1,898 Vol.
99%
78-79°F
$2,618 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,469 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$1,218 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$1,040 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$427 Vol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$367 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors 76-77°F for Miami’s daily minimum on August 4, 2026, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance showing overnight lows near that range under partly cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and typical early-August subtropical humidity. High moisture content and sea-breeze influences suppress nocturnal radiational cooling, keeping readings close to or slightly below the 78°F climatological average while preventing deeper drops. Recent observations from Miami International Airport align with this pattern, as persistent cloud cover and warm Gulf moisture limit temperature falls. Clearer skies or an unexpected drier air mass intrusion could allow readings into the mid-70s, though current model consensus assigns low probability to such shifts before the minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ET
音量
$14,283終了日
2026/08/04マーケット開始日
Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors 76-77°F for Miami’s daily minimum on August 4, 2026, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance showing overnight lows near that range under partly cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and typical early-August subtropical humidity. High moisture content and sea-breeze influences suppress nocturnal radiational cooling, keeping readings close to or slightly below the 78°F climatological average while preventing deeper drops. Recent observations from Miami International Airport align with this pattern, as persistent cloud cover and warm Gulf moisture limit temperature falls. Clearer skies or an unexpected drier air mass intrusion could allow readings into the mid-70s, though current model consensus assigns low probability to such shifts before the minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$14,283終了日
2026/08/04マーケット開始日
Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ETTrader consensus heavily favors 76-77°F for Miami’s daily minimum on August 4, 2026, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance showing overnight lows near that range under partly cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and typical early-August subtropical humidity. High moisture content and sea-breeze influences suppress nocturnal radiational cooling, keeping readings close to or slightly below the 78°F climatological average while preventing deeper drops. Recent observations from Miami International Airport align with this pattern, as persistent cloud cover and warm Gulf moisture limit temperature falls. Clearer skies or an unexpected drier air mass intrusion could allow readings into the mid-70s, though current model consensus assigns low probability to such shifts before the minimum is recorded.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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