**Overcast skies, high humidity, and light winds are expected to keep overnight radiative cooling limited, positioning the minimum temperature in Incheon around 23–24°C as the most probable outcome.** Multiple forecast models, including official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration, indicate a low near 22–24°C for August 30 under persistent cloud cover and 80–95% relative humidity, consistent with late-summer conditions where dew points remain close to surface temperatures. Recent model runs show only minor overnight dips to the low 20s °C, with no strong cold advection or clear-sky radiative cooling expected to push values significantly lower. Historical late-August climatology for the region supports typical minima in this range when marine influence and cloudiness dominate, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 23°C and 24°C. Updated forecasts closer to the overnight period could refine these probabilities if any clearing or wind shifts occur.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のソウル(仁川)の最低気温は?
24°C 50%
23°C 34%
25°C 9%
22°C 7%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
7%
23°C
34%
24°C
50%
25°C
9%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 50%
23°C 34%
25°C 9%
22°C 7%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
7%
23°C
34%
24°C
50%
25°C
9%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Overcast skies, high humidity, and light winds are expected to keep overnight radiative cooling limited, positioning the minimum temperature in Incheon around 23–24°C as the most probable outcome.** Multiple forecast models, including official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration, indicate a low near 22–24°C for August 30 under persistent cloud cover and 80–95% relative humidity, consistent with late-summer conditions where dew points remain close to surface temperatures. Recent model runs show only minor overnight dips to the low 20s °C, with no strong cold advection or clear-sky radiative cooling expected to push values significantly lower. Historical late-August climatology for the region supports typical minima in this range when marine influence and cloudiness dominate, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 23°C and 24°C. Updated forecasts closer to the overnight period could refine these probabilities if any clearing or wind shifts occur.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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