Recent observations from Toronto Pearson International Airport show overnight lows holding near 16–17°C on September 15 amid mild southerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling, keeping the recorded minimum above the 14°C threshold favored by market consensus. Ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada and GFS runs exhibited modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression, producing the tight clustering of probabilities between 8–14°C. Historical September minima average 13.9°C, yet this event’s warmer-than-normal pattern—driven by a stalled high-pressure ridge—reduced the likelihood of deeper cooling. Official daily minimum confirmation from the Meteorological Service of Canada remains the key upcoming data point that will resolve remaining uncertainty among closely matched outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月15日のトロントの最低気温は？
9月15日のトロントの最低気温は？
8°C以下 95%
9°C 95%
10°C 92%
11℃ 90%
$1,153 Vol.
$1,153 Vol.
2026/09/15
8°C以下
95%
9°C
95%
10°C
92%
11℃
90%
12℃
-
13℃
-
14°C
-
15℃
<1%
16℃
<1%
17°C
<1%
18℃以上
<1%
8°C以下 95%
9°C 95%
10°C 92%
11℃ 90%
$1,153 Vol.
$1,153 Vol.
2026/09/15
8°C以下
$0 Vol.
95%
9°C
$35 Vol.
95%
10°C
$90 Vol.
92%
11℃
$70 Vol.
90%
12℃
$127 Vol.
-
13℃
$117 Vol.
-
14°C
$305 Vol.
-
15℃
$16 Vol.
<1%
16℃
$186 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$191 Vol.
<1%
18℃以上
$16 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observations from Toronto Pearson International Airport show overnight lows holding near 16–17°C on September 15 amid mild southerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling, keeping the recorded minimum above the 14°C threshold favored by market consensus. Ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada and GFS runs exhibited modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression, producing the tight clustering of probabilities between 8–14°C. Historical September minima average 13.9°C, yet this event’s warmer-than-normal pattern—driven by a stalled high-pressure ridge—reduced the likelihood of deeper cooling. Official daily minimum confirmation from the Meteorological Service of Canada remains the key upcoming data point that will resolve remaining uncertainty among closely matched outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
音量
$1,153終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observations from Toronto Pearson International Airport show overnight lows holding near 16–17°C on September 15 amid mild southerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling, keeping the recorded minimum above the 14°C threshold favored by market consensus. Ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada and GFS runs exhibited modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression, producing the tight clustering of probabilities between 8–14°C. Historical September minima average 13.9°C, yet this event’s warmer-than-normal pattern—driven by a stalled high-pressure ridge—reduced the likelihood of deeper cooling. Official daily minimum confirmation from the Meteorological Service of Canada remains the key upcoming data point that will resolve remaining uncertainty among closely matched outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,153終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETRecent observations from Toronto Pearson International Airport show overnight lows holding near 16–17°C on September 15 amid mild southerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling, keeping the recorded minimum above the 14°C threshold favored by market consensus. Ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada and GFS runs exhibited modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression, producing the tight clustering of probabilities between 8–14°C. Historical September minima average 13.9°C, yet this event’s warmer-than-normal pattern—driven by a stalled high-pressure ridge—reduced the likelihood of deeper cooling. Official daily minimum confirmation from the Meteorological Service of Canada remains the key upcoming data point that will resolve remaining uncertainty among closely matched outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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