Recent cooling from a weak cold front and northerly winds has positioned overnight lows in Wuhan near 19–20°C for September 18, aligning with the market’s leading 19°C (53.5%) and 20°C (26.0%) outcomes. Official forecasts from multiple models show a minimum around 19.1°C amid partial cloud cover and light rain chances that limit radiative cooling while maintaining the autumn transition trend. Historical September baselines place typical lows near 20–22°C, but the current system’s steering pattern and moisture have tightened consensus toward the lower end of that range. Updated model runs and any late shifts in cloud cover or wind speed remain the key variables ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月18日の武漢の最低気温は?
19℃ 54%
20°C 45%
14℃以下 44%
24℃以上 44%
14℃以下
44%
15°C
39%
16℃
39%
17℃
39%
18℃
40%
19℃
54%
20°C
26%
21℃
7%
22℃
39%
23℃
39%
24℃以上
44%
19℃ 54%
20°C 45%
14℃以下 44%
24℃以上 44%
14℃以下
44%
15°C
39%
16℃
39%
17℃
39%
18℃
40%
19℃
54%
20°C
26%
21℃
7%
22℃
39%
23℃
39%
24℃以上
44%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent cooling from a weak cold front and northerly winds has positioned overnight lows in Wuhan near 19–20°C for September 18, aligning with the market’s leading 19°C (53.5%) and 20°C (26.0%) outcomes. Official forecasts from multiple models show a minimum around 19.1°C amid partial cloud cover and light rain chances that limit radiative cooling while maintaining the autumn transition trend. Historical September baselines place typical lows near 20–22°C, but the current system’s steering pattern and moisture have tightened consensus toward the lower end of that range. Updated model runs and any late shifts in cloud cover or wind speed remain the key variables ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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