Incumbent Jake Auchincloss holds a commanding lead in the Massachusetts 4th congressional district Democratic primary, scheduled for September 1, 2026, reflecting strong trader consensus on his reelection path. A July campaign poll showed him ahead by 47 points among likely primary voters, bolstered by his incumbency since 2020, substantial fundraising edge, and the district's solid Democratic lean. Challenger Jason Poulos, an AI researcher, has focused on economic displacement concerns but trails significantly with limited name recognition. Other potential entrants have withdrawn ahead of the August filing deadline. A late surge by Poulos or unusually low turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similar safe seats favor the sitting representative.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$12,859 Vol.
$12,859 Vol.
2026/09/01
Jake Auchincloss
96%
Jason Poulos
5%
$12,859 Vol.
$12,859 Vol.
2026/09/01
Jake Auchincloss
$9,421 Vol.
96%
Jason Poulos
$3,438 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Jake Auchincloss holds a commanding lead in the Massachusetts 4th congressional district Democratic primary, scheduled for September 1, 2026, reflecting strong trader consensus on his reelection path. A July campaign poll showed him ahead by 47 points among likely primary voters, bolstered by his incumbency since 2020, substantial fundraising edge, and the district's solid Democratic lean. Challenger Jason Poulos, an AI researcher, has focused on economic displacement concerns but trails significantly with limited name recognition. Other potential entrants have withdrawn ahead of the August filing deadline. A late surge by Poulos or unusually low turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similar safe seats favor the sitting representative.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日： Jul 27, 2026, 7:54 PM ET
音量
$12,859終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Jul 27, 2026, 7:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Jake Auchincloss holds a commanding lead in the Massachusetts 4th congressional district Democratic primary, scheduled for September 1, 2026, reflecting strong trader consensus on his reelection path. A July campaign poll showed him ahead by 47 points among likely primary voters, bolstered by his incumbency since 2020, substantial fundraising edge, and the district's solid Democratic lean. Challenger Jason Poulos, an AI researcher, has focused on economic displacement concerns but trails significantly with limited name recognition. Other potential entrants have withdrawn ahead of the August filing deadline. A late surge by Poulos or unusually low turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similar safe seats favor the sitting representative.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$12,859終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Jul 27, 2026, 7:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Jake Auchincloss holds a commanding lead in the Massachusetts 4th congressional district Democratic primary, scheduled for September 1, 2026, reflecting strong trader consensus on his reelection path. A July campaign poll showed him ahead by 47 points among likely primary voters, bolstered by his incumbency since 2020, substantial fundraising edge, and the district's solid Democratic lean. Challenger Jason Poulos, an AI researcher, has focused on economic displacement concerns but trails significantly with limited name recognition. Other potential entrants have withdrawn ahead of the August filing deadline. A late surge by Poulos or unusually low turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similar safe seats favor the sitting representative.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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