Trader consensus on Polymarket prices below-85% turnout at 49.5% implied probability for Malta's snap general election on May 30, driven by the short campaign following Prime Minister Robert Abela's April 27 call amid Middle East tensions and rising energy costs. Recent Vincent Marmara polling from early May shows Labour leading by roughly 29,000 votes, signaling a lopsided race that could suppress Nationalist Party turnout in this proportional representation system. Historical benchmarks—85.6% in 2022, over 90% in 2017—contrast with potential voter apathy from limited mobilization time and economic pressures, positioning 90-95% next at 35.9% while 95%+ lags at 0.6%; final figures await Electoral Commission certification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日<85% 49%
90-95% 24.0%
85-90% 21%
95%+ <1%
$24,414 Vol.
$24,414 Vol.
2026/05/30
<85%
49%
85-90%
21%
90-95%
29%
95%+
1%
<85% 49%
90-95% 24.0%
85-90% 21%
95%+ <1%
$24,414 Vol.
$24,414 Vol.
2026/05/30
<85%
$7,265 Vol.
49%
85-90%
$5,199 Vol.
21%
90-95%
$5,970 Vol.
29%
95%+
$5,980 Vol.
1%
General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Maltese general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Government of Malta, including the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices below-85% turnout at 49.5% implied probability for Malta's snap general election on May 30, driven by the short campaign following Prime Minister Robert Abela's April 27 call amid Middle East tensions and rising energy costs. Recent Vincent Marmara polling from early May shows Labour leading by roughly 29,000 votes, signaling a lopsided race that could suppress Nationalist Party turnout in this proportional representation system. Historical benchmarks—85.6% in 2022, over 90% in 2017—contrast with potential voter apathy from limited mobilization time and economic pressures, positioning 90-95% next at 35.9% while 95%+ lags at 0.6%; final figures await Electoral Commission certification.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Maltese general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Government of Malta, including the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/)
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Maltese general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Government of Malta, including the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/)
マーケット開始日： May 1, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
音量
$24,414終了日
2026/05/30マーケット開始日
May 1, 2026, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Maltese general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Government of Malta, including the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices below-85% turnout at 49.5% implied probability for Malta's snap general election on May 30, driven by the short campaign following Prime Minister Robert Abela's April 27 call amid Middle East tensions and rising energy costs. Recent Vincent Marmara polling from early May shows Labour leading by roughly 29,000 votes, signaling a lopsided race that could suppress Nationalist Party turnout in this proportional representation system. Historical benchmarks—85.6% in 2022, over 90% in 2017—contrast with potential voter apathy from limited mobilization time and economic pressures, positioning 90-95% next at 35.9% while 95%+ lags at 0.6%; final figures await Electoral Commission certification.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Maltese general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Government of Malta, including the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/)
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Maltese general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Government of Malta, including the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/)
音量
$24,414終了日
2026/05/30マーケット開始日
May 1, 2026, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices below-85% turnout at 49.5% implied probability for Malta's snap general election on May 30, driven by the short campaign following Prime Minister Robert Abela's April 27 call amid Middle East tensions and rising energy costs. Recent Vincent Marmara polling from early May shows Labour leading by roughly 29,000 votes, signaling a lopsided race that could suppress Nationalist Party turnout in this proportional representation system. Historical benchmarks—85.6% in 2022, over 90% in 2017—contrast with potential voter apathy from limited mobilization time and economic pressures, positioning 90-95% next at 35.9% while 95%+ lags at 0.6%; final figures await Electoral Commission certification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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