Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore's commanding lead in trader consensus for Maryland's November 3, 2026, gubernatorial election stems from the state's deep Democratic lean, where no incumbent Democrat has lost re-election since 1950, bolstered by his well-funded campaign exceeding $12 million raised and consistent polling advantages over hypothetical Republican challengers like former Governor Larry Hogan. Recent polls reflect slipping approval ratings below 50% in early April 2026 amid budget deficits and tax hikes, yet Moore maintains double-digit leads against generic Republicans. The crowded June 23 Republican primary—featuring Dan Cox, Ed Hale, and others lacking statewide name recognition—further entrenches the edge. Realistic challenges would require a major scandal, national GOP wave, or primary upset for Moore against minor challenger Eric Felber, though structural barriers remain high.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$15,599 Vol.
$15,599 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$15,599 Vol.
$15,599 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$6,852 Vol.
94%
共和党
$8,747 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore's commanding lead in trader consensus for Maryland's November 3, 2026, gubernatorial election stems from the state's deep Democratic lean, where no incumbent Democrat has lost re-election since 1950, bolstered by his well-funded campaign exceeding $12 million raised and consistent polling advantages over hypothetical Republican challengers like former Governor Larry Hogan. Recent polls reflect slipping approval ratings below 50% in early April 2026 amid budget deficits and tax hikes, yet Moore maintains double-digit leads against generic Republicans. The crowded June 23 Republican primary—featuring Dan Cox, Ed Hale, and others lacking statewide name recognition—further entrenches the edge. Realistic challenges would require a major scandal, national GOP wave, or primary upset for Moore against minor challenger Eric Felber, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
音量
$15,599終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore's commanding lead in trader consensus for Maryland's November 3, 2026, gubernatorial election stems from the state's deep Democratic lean, where no incumbent Democrat has lost re-election since 1950, bolstered by his well-funded campaign exceeding $12 million raised and consistent polling advantages over hypothetical Republican challengers like former Governor Larry Hogan. Recent polls reflect slipping approval ratings below 50% in early April 2026 amid budget deficits and tax hikes, yet Moore maintains double-digit leads against generic Republicans. The crowded June 23 Republican primary—featuring Dan Cox, Ed Hale, and others lacking statewide name recognition—further entrenches the edge. Realistic challenges would require a major scandal, national GOP wave, or primary upset for Moore against minor challenger Eric Felber, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$15,599終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore's commanding lead in trader consensus for Maryland's November 3, 2026, gubernatorial election stems from the state's deep Democratic lean, where no incumbent Democrat has lost re-election since 1950, bolstered by his well-funded campaign exceeding $12 million raised and consistent polling advantages over hypothetical Republican challengers like former Governor Larry Hogan. Recent polls reflect slipping approval ratings below 50% in early April 2026 amid budget deficits and tax hikes, yet Moore maintains double-digit leads against generic Republicans. The crowded June 23 Republican primary—featuring Dan Cox, Ed Hale, and others lacking statewide name recognition—further entrenches the edge. Realistic challenges would require a major scandal, national GOP wave, or primary upset for Moore against minor challenger Eric Felber, though structural barriers remain high.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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