Incumbent Rep. Lisa McClain (R), recently elevated to House Republican Conference Chairwoman in late 2025, anchors trader consensus at 91.5% for a Republican win in Michigan's 9th Congressional District, rated R+16 based on partisan lean and her 2024 reelection margin exceeding 66%. No prominent Democratic challengers have filed ahead of the August 4 primaries, reflecting the district's reliable Republican performance in recent cycles amid limited national Democratic momentum for midterms. This commanding position aligns with historical incumbency advantages in safe seats, where reelection rates exceed 90%. Realistic challenges include a high-profile Democratic recruit, McClain scandal, or broader anti-incumbent wave, though upcoming primaries and general election on November 3 offer windows for shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
92%
民主党
9%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$8,808 Vol.
92%
民主党
$300 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Lisa McClain (R), recently elevated to House Republican Conference Chairwoman in late 2025, anchors trader consensus at 91.5% for a Republican win in Michigan's 9th Congressional District, rated R+16 based on partisan lean and her 2024 reelection margin exceeding 66%. No prominent Democratic challengers have filed ahead of the August 4 primaries, reflecting the district's reliable Republican performance in recent cycles amid limited national Democratic momentum for midterms. This commanding position aligns with historical incumbency advantages in safe seats, where reelection rates exceed 90%. Realistic challenges include a high-profile Democratic recruit, McClain scandal, or broader anti-incumbent wave, though upcoming primaries and general election on November 3 offer windows for shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$9,108終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Lisa McClain (R), recently elevated to House Republican Conference Chairwoman in late 2025, anchors trader consensus at 91.5% for a Republican win in Michigan's 9th Congressional District, rated R+16 based on partisan lean and her 2024 reelection margin exceeding 66%. No prominent Democratic challengers have filed ahead of the August 4 primaries, reflecting the district's reliable Republican performance in recent cycles amid limited national Democratic momentum for midterms. This commanding position aligns with historical incumbency advantages in safe seats, where reelection rates exceed 90%. Realistic challenges include a high-profile Democratic recruit, McClain scandal, or broader anti-incumbent wave, though upcoming primaries and general election on November 3 offer windows for shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$9,108終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Lisa McClain (R), recently elevated to House Republican Conference Chairwoman in late 2025, anchors trader consensus at 91.5% for a Republican win in Michigan's 9th Congressional District, rated R+16 based on partisan lean and her 2024 reelection margin exceeding 66%. No prominent Democratic challengers have filed ahead of the August 4 primaries, reflecting the district's reliable Republican performance in recent cycles amid limited national Democratic momentum for midterms. This commanding position aligns with historical incumbency advantages in safe seats, where reelection rates exceed 90%. Realistic challenges include a high-profile Democratic recruit, McClain scandal, or broader anti-incumbent wave, though upcoming primaries and general election on November 3 offer windows for shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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