Mojtaba Khamenei's appointment as Iran's Supreme Leader in March 2026 followed the killing of his father Ali Khamenei in late-February U.S.-Israeli strikes, in which Mojtaba was reportedly injured. Since then, he has issued only written statements and avoided confirmed public appearances, fueling ongoing speculation about his health, security concerns, and operational role amid the conflict. Iranian state media released a short undated video on August 10 showing him in a meeting, presented as a response to rumors of deterioration, while earlier claims of meetings by senior officials remain unverified on camera. Traders assess the timing of any in-person or live appearance against these factors, with resolution hinging on verifiable footage or events before specific deadlines.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$6,688,364 Vol.
2026/12/31
8月31日
4%
9月30日
11%
12月31日
26%
$6,688,364 Vol.
8月31日
$413,543 Vol.
4%
9月30日
$262,574 Vol.
11%
12月31日
$425,869 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Mojtaba Khamenei's appointment as Iran's Supreme Leader in March 2026 followed the killing of his father Ali Khamenei in late-February U.S.-Israeli strikes, in which Mojtaba was reportedly injured. Since then, he has issued only written statements and avoided confirmed public appearances, fueling ongoing speculation about his health, security concerns, and operational role amid the conflict. Iranian state media released a short undated video on August 10 showing him in a meeting, presented as a response to rumors of deterioration, while earlier claims of meetings by senior officials remain unverified on camera. Traders assess the timing of any in-person or live appearance against these factors, with resolution hinging on verifiable footage or events before specific deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
マーケット開始日： Jul 2, 2026, 1:55 PM ET
音量
$6,688,364終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Jul 2, 2026, 1:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Mojtaba Khamenei's appointment as Iran's Supreme Leader in March 2026 followed the killing of his father Ali Khamenei in late-February U.S.-Israeli strikes, in which Mojtaba was reportedly injured. Since then, he has issued only written statements and avoided confirmed public appearances, fueling ongoing speculation about his health, security concerns, and operational role amid the conflict. Iranian state media released a short undated video on August 10 showing him in a meeting, presented as a response to rumors of deterioration, while earlier claims of meetings by senior officials remain unverified on camera. Traders assess the timing of any in-person or live appearance against these factors, with resolution hinging on verifiable footage or events before specific deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
音量
$6,688,364終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Jul 2, 2026, 1:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei's appointment as Iran's Supreme Leader in March 2026 followed the killing of his father Ali Khamenei in late-February U.S.-Israeli strikes, in which Mojtaba was reportedly injured. Since then, he has issued only written statements and avoided confirmed public appearances, fueling ongoing speculation about his health, security concerns, and operational role amid the conflict. Iranian state media released a short undated video on August 10 showing him in a meeting, presented as a response to rumors of deterioration, while earlier claims of meetings by senior officials remain unverified on camera. Traders assess the timing of any in-person or live appearance against these factors, with resolution hinging on verifiable footage or events before specific deadlines.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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