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ニューハンプシャー州知事共和党予備選

icon for ニューハンプシャー州知事共和党予備選

ニューハンプシャー州知事共和党予備選

新規
Polymarket
新規

ケリー・アヨット

$3,400 Vol.

85%

コーリー・ルワンドウスキー

$2,670 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Kelly Ayotte maintains a commanding position in the New Hampshire Republican gubernatorial primary due to her strong approval ratings and absence of any declared major challengers ahead of the September 8, 2026, vote. Recent polling from the University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm College shows her leading potential Democratic opponents by double-digit margins in the general election, underscoring broad GOP support and her alignment with the moderate governance approach associated with prior Republican administrations. Speculation about a primary bid by Trump-aligned figure Corey Lewandowski emerged in late 2025 over redistricting disputes but has produced no formal candidacy or sustained momentum since, leaving traders to price in Ayotte's structural advantages as incumbent with limited risk of an upset.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$6,070
終了日
2026/09/08
マーケット開始日
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Kelly Ayotte maintains a commanding position in the New Hampshire Republican gubernatorial primary due to her strong approval ratings and absence of any declared major challengers ahead of the September 8, 2026, vote. Recent polling from the University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm College shows her leading potential Democratic opponents by double-digit margins in the general election, underscoring broad GOP support and her alignment with the moderate governance approach associated with prior Republican administrations. Speculation about a primary bid by Trump-aligned figure Corey Lewandowski emerged in late 2025 over redistricting disputes but has produced no formal candidacy or sustained momentum since, leaving traders to price in Ayotte's structural advantages as incumbent with limited risk of an upset.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$6,070
終了日
2026/09/08
マーケット開始日
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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よくある質問

「ニューハンプシャー州知事共和党予備選」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ケリー・アヨット」で85%、次いで「コーリー・ルワンドウスキー」が9%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、85¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に85%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「ニューハンプシャー州知事共和党予備選」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Dec 4, 2025開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「ニューハンプシャー州知事共和党予備選」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ニューハンプシャー州知事共和党予備選」の現在のフロントランナーは「ケリー・アヨット」で85%であり、市場がこの結果に85%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「コーリー・ルワンドウスキー」で9%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ニューハンプシャー州知事共和党予備選」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。