Incumbent Democrat Timothy Kennedy holds a commanding position in the NY-26 House race due to the district’s consistent Democratic lean in western New York, his established incumbency advantage following a 2024 special election win, and the completion of the June 2026 primaries without notable disruptions. Trader consensus at 94% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural factors, including fundraising edges, local voter registration patterns, and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. Dennis Hannon’s Republican nomination faces steep headwinds in a seat rated as solidly Democratic. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a major scandal affecting the incumbent, an unusually strong national Republican wave altering turnout, or unforeseen legal or health issues, though none have materialized in recent months.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$26,592 Vol.
$26,592 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
4%
$26,592 Vol.
$26,592 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$14,424 Vol.
94%
共和党
$12,168 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Timothy Kennedy holds a commanding position in the NY-26 House race due to the district’s consistent Democratic lean in western New York, his established incumbency advantage following a 2024 special election win, and the completion of the June 2026 primaries without notable disruptions. Trader consensus at 94% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural factors, including fundraising edges, local voter registration patterns, and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. Dennis Hannon’s Republican nomination faces steep headwinds in a seat rated as solidly Democratic. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a major scandal affecting the incumbent, an unusually strong national Republican wave altering turnout, or unforeseen legal or health issues, though none have materialized in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$26,592終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Timothy Kennedy holds a commanding position in the NY-26 House race due to the district’s consistent Democratic lean in western New York, his established incumbency advantage following a 2024 special election win, and the completion of the June 2026 primaries without notable disruptions. Trader consensus at 94% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural factors, including fundraising edges, local voter registration patterns, and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. Dennis Hannon’s Republican nomination faces steep headwinds in a seat rated as solidly Democratic. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a major scandal affecting the incumbent, an unusually strong national Republican wave altering turnout, or unforeseen legal or health issues, though none have materialized in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$26,592終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Timothy Kennedy holds a commanding position in the NY-26 House race due to the district’s consistent Democratic lean in western New York, his established incumbency advantage following a 2024 special election win, and the completion of the June 2026 primaries without notable disruptions. Trader consensus at 94% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural factors, including fundraising edges, local voter registration patterns, and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. Dennis Hannon’s Republican nomination faces steep headwinds in a seat rated as solidly Democratic. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a major scandal affecting the incumbent, an unusually strong national Republican wave altering turnout, or unforeseen legal or health issues, though none have materialized in recent months.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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