Recent polling aggregates place President Trump's job approval in the high 30s as of early September 2026, with RealClearPolitics at 39.6%, the New York Times at 38%, and Silver Bulletin near 38.2%, consistent with a multi-month decline from earlier second-term levels. Individual surveys released in the past week, including Focaldata/Financial Times and NBC News, registered new lows around 32-36%, driven by voter dissatisfaction with economic conditions, cost-of-living pressures, and the ongoing conflict with Iran. These results have reinforced trader consensus around the 38.0–38.4 range for the September 11 reading, while wider bands capture typical daily poll variance and Rasmussen's higher tracking figures near 42%. Midterm election timing adds further scrutiny to short-term movements in approval metrics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日38.0〜38.4 44%
38.5〜38.9 30%
39.0〜39.4 10%
37.5〜37.9 9%
新規
新規
2026/09/11
37.5未満
<1%
37.5〜37.9
9%
38.0〜38.4
44%
38.5〜38.9
30%
39.0〜39.4
10%
39.5以上
1%
38.0〜38.4 44%
38.5〜38.9 30%
39.0〜39.4 10%
37.5〜37.9 9%
新規
新規
2026/09/11
37.5未満
$727 Vol.
<1%
37.5〜37.9
$1,033 Vol.
9%
38.0〜38.4
$2,082 Vol.
44%
38.5〜38.9
$1,394 Vol.
30%
39.0〜39.4
$684 Vol.
10%
39.5以上
$312 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates place President Trump's job approval in the high 30s as of early September 2026, with RealClearPolitics at 39.6%, the New York Times at 38%, and Silver Bulletin near 38.2%, consistent with a multi-month decline from earlier second-term levels. Individual surveys released in the past week, including Focaldata/Financial Times and NBC News, registered new lows around 32-36%, driven by voter dissatisfaction with economic conditions, cost-of-living pressures, and the ongoing conflict with Iran. These results have reinforced trader consensus around the 38.0–38.4 range for the September 11 reading, while wider bands capture typical daily poll variance and Rasmussen's higher tracking figures near 42%. Midterm election timing adds further scrutiny to short-term movements in approval metrics.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
マーケット開始日： Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ET
音量
$6,233終了日
2026/09/11マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates place President Trump's job approval in the high 30s as of early September 2026, with RealClearPolitics at 39.6%, the New York Times at 38%, and Silver Bulletin near 38.2%, consistent with a multi-month decline from earlier second-term levels. Individual surveys released in the past week, including Focaldata/Financial Times and NBC News, registered new lows around 32-36%, driven by voter dissatisfaction with economic conditions, cost-of-living pressures, and the ongoing conflict with Iran. These results have reinforced trader consensus around the 38.0–38.4 range for the September 11 reading, while wider bands capture typical daily poll variance and Rasmussen's higher tracking figures near 42%. Midterm election timing adds further scrutiny to short-term movements in approval metrics.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$6,233終了日
2026/09/11マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates place President Trump's job approval in the high 30s as of early September 2026, with RealClearPolitics at 39.6%, the New York Times at 38%, and Silver Bulletin near 38.2%, consistent with a multi-month decline from earlier second-term levels. Individual surveys released in the past week, including Focaldata/Financial Times and NBC News, registered new lows around 32-36%, driven by voter dissatisfaction with economic conditions, cost-of-living pressures, and the ongoing conflict with Iran. These results have reinforced trader consensus around the 38.0–38.4 range for the September 11 reading, while wider bands capture typical daily poll variance and Rasmussen's higher tracking figures near 42%. Midterm election timing adds further scrutiny to short-term movements in approval metrics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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