Recent polling from multiple firms, including Economist/YouGov and Reuters/Ipsos conducted in early June 2026, shows President Trump's job approval holding near second-term lows around 35-40 percent amid sustained disapproval above 55 percent. Traders appear to weigh ongoing public dissatisfaction with inflation and economic conditions, alongside developments in the Iran conflict, as factors likely to sustain downward pressure on weekly approval readings. These trends align with broader patterns of eroding confidence on key issues tracked in national surveys, supporting the current implied probability favoring a decline this week.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Up
新規
新規
2026/06/12
Up
新規
新規
2026/06/12
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 5, 2026, than on June 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling from multiple firms, including Economist/YouGov and Reuters/Ipsos conducted in early June 2026, shows President Trump's job approval holding near second-term lows around 35-40 percent amid sustained disapproval above 55 percent. Traders appear to weigh ongoing public dissatisfaction with inflation and economic conditions, alongside developments in the Iran conflict, as factors likely to sustain downward pressure on weekly approval readings. These trends align with broader patterns of eroding confidence on key issues tracked in national surveys, supporting the current implied probability favoring a decline this week.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 5, 2026, than on June 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 5, 2026, than on June 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
マーケット開始日： Jun 5, 2026, 3:38 PM ET
音量
$73終了日
2026/06/12マーケット開始日
Jun 5, 2026, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 5, 2026, than on June 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling from multiple firms, including Economist/YouGov and Reuters/Ipsos conducted in early June 2026, shows President Trump's job approval holding near second-term lows around 35-40 percent amid sustained disapproval above 55 percent. Traders appear to weigh ongoing public dissatisfaction with inflation and economic conditions, alongside developments in the Iran conflict, as factors likely to sustain downward pressure on weekly approval readings. These trends align with broader patterns of eroding confidence on key issues tracked in national surveys, supporting the current implied probability favoring a decline this week.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 5, 2026, than on June 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 5, 2026, than on June 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$73終了日
2026/06/12マーケット開始日
Jun 5, 2026, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling from multiple firms, including Economist/YouGov and Reuters/Ipsos conducted in early June 2026, shows President Trump's job approval holding near second-term lows around 35-40 percent amid sustained disapproval above 55 percent. Traders appear to weigh ongoing public dissatisfaction with inflation and economic conditions, alongside developments in the Iran conflict, as factors likely to sustain downward pressure on weekly approval readings. These trends align with broader patterns of eroding confidence on key issues tracked in national surveys, supporting the current implied probability favoring a decline this week.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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