United Russia holds the leading position in trader consensus for winning the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections, driven by its incumbency, administrative resources, and dominance in single-mandate districts under the mixed electoral system. Recent VTsIOM polling shows New People rising to second place and gaining support among younger and middle-class voters frustrated by restrictions and economic conditions, which accounts for its substantial market pricing. Other surveys indicate more stable backing for the LDPR and KPRF, while procedural elements such as controlled primaries and expanded electronic voting reinforce United Russia's structural advantages in securing a plurality of the 450 seats despite any shifts in party-list preferences.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日統一ロシア（ER） 59%
ニューピープル（NL） 30.6%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR） 5.5%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF） 3.0%
$8,314,532 Vol.
$8,314,532 Vol.
2026/09/30
統一ロシア（ER）
59%
ニューピープル（NL）
31%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR）
5%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF）
3%
公正ロシア・ための真実（SRZP）
1%
ロジーナ
<1%
シビック・プラットフォーム（GP）
<1%
統一ロシア（ER） 59%
ニューピープル（NL） 30.6%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR） 5.5%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF） 3.0%
$8,314,532 Vol.
$8,314,532 Vol.
2026/09/30
統一ロシア（ER）
$2,184,052 Vol.
59%
ニューピープル（NL）
$1,084,414 Vol.
31%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR）
$2,278,093 Vol.
5%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF）
$660,125 Vol.
3%
公正ロシア・ための真実（SRZP）
$575,917 Vol.
1%
ロジーナ
$946,037 Vol.
<1%
シビック・プラットフォーム（GP）
$585,917 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia holds the leading position in trader consensus for winning the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections, driven by its incumbency, administrative resources, and dominance in single-mandate districts under the mixed electoral system. Recent VTsIOM polling shows New People rising to second place and gaining support among younger and middle-class voters frustrated by restrictions and economic conditions, which accounts for its substantial market pricing. Other surveys indicate more stable backing for the LDPR and KPRF, while procedural elements such as controlled primaries and expanded electronic voting reinforce United Russia's structural advantages in securing a plurality of the 450 seats despite any shifts in party-list preferences.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
マーケット開始日： Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
音量
$8,314,532終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia holds the leading position in trader consensus for winning the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections, driven by its incumbency, administrative resources, and dominance in single-mandate districts under the mixed electoral system. Recent VTsIOM polling shows New People rising to second place and gaining support among younger and middle-class voters frustrated by restrictions and economic conditions, which accounts for its substantial market pricing. Other surveys indicate more stable backing for the LDPR and KPRF, while procedural elements such as controlled primaries and expanded electronic voting reinforce United Russia's structural advantages in securing a plurality of the 450 seats despite any shifts in party-list preferences.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
音量
$8,314,532終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia holds the leading position in trader consensus for winning the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections, driven by its incumbency, administrative resources, and dominance in single-mandate districts under the mixed electoral system. Recent VTsIOM polling shows New People rising to second place and gaining support among younger and middle-class voters frustrated by restrictions and economic conditions, which accounts for its substantial market pricing. Other surveys indicate more stable backing for the LDPR and KPRF, while procedural elements such as controlled primaries and expanded electronic voting reinforce United Russia's structural advantages in securing a plurality of the 450 seats despite any shifts in party-list preferences.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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