United Russia maintains a commanding position as the incumbent ruling party with extensive control over Russia's electoral system, media environment, and regional structures ahead of the September 2026 State Duma vote. Recent Kremlin preparations, including adjusted turnout and support targets, reflect awareness of softer polling around 40-50% yet underscore expectations of retaining a constitutional majority. New People has drawn secondary trader focus amid limited shifts in systemic opposition visibility, though polls consistently place it well behind. Other listed parties encounter structural barriers such as the five-percent threshold, candidate registration hurdles, and constrained federal coverage that limit their path to the largest seat share. These dynamics align with the current implied probabilities favoring United Russia.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日統一ロシア（ER） 67%
ニューピープル（NL） 24.5%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR） 4.6%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF） 2.4%
$16,775,108 Vol.
$16,775,108 Vol.
2026/09/30
統一ロシア（ER）
67%
ニューピープル（NL）
25%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR）
5%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF）
2%
公正ロシア・ための真実（SRZP）
<1%
ロジーナ
<1%
シビック・プラットフォーム（GP）
<1%
統一ロシア（ER） 67%
ニューピープル（NL） 24.5%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR） 4.6%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF） 2.4%
$16,775,108 Vol.
$16,775,108 Vol.
2026/09/30
統一ロシア（ER）
$6,226,835 Vol.
67%
ニューピープル（NL）
$1,853,107 Vol.
25%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR）
$3,032,836 Vol.
5%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF）
$1,168,203 Vol.
2%
公正ロシア・ための真実（SRZP）
$1,217,282 Vol.
<1%
ロジーナ
$2,016,192 Vol.
<1%
シビック・プラットフォーム（GP）
$1,260,653 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains a commanding position as the incumbent ruling party with extensive control over Russia's electoral system, media environment, and regional structures ahead of the September 2026 State Duma vote. Recent Kremlin preparations, including adjusted turnout and support targets, reflect awareness of softer polling around 40-50% yet underscore expectations of retaining a constitutional majority. New People has drawn secondary trader focus amid limited shifts in systemic opposition visibility, though polls consistently place it well behind. Other listed parties encounter structural barriers such as the five-percent threshold, candidate registration hurdles, and constrained federal coverage that limit their path to the largest seat share. These dynamics align with the current implied probabilities favoring United Russia.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
マーケット開始日： Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
音量
$16,775,108終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains a commanding position as the incumbent ruling party with extensive control over Russia's electoral system, media environment, and regional structures ahead of the September 2026 State Duma vote. Recent Kremlin preparations, including adjusted turnout and support targets, reflect awareness of softer polling around 40-50% yet underscore expectations of retaining a constitutional majority. New People has drawn secondary trader focus amid limited shifts in systemic opposition visibility, though polls consistently place it well behind. Other listed parties encounter structural barriers such as the five-percent threshold, candidate registration hurdles, and constrained federal coverage that limit their path to the largest seat share. These dynamics align with the current implied probabilities favoring United Russia.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
音量
$16,775,108終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains a commanding position as the incumbent ruling party with extensive control over Russia's electoral system, media environment, and regional structures ahead of the September 2026 State Duma vote. Recent Kremlin preparations, including adjusted turnout and support targets, reflect awareness of softer polling around 40-50% yet underscore expectations of retaining a constitutional majority. New People has drawn secondary trader focus amid limited shifts in systemic opposition visibility, though polls consistently place it well behind. Other listed parties encounter structural barriers such as the five-percent threshold, candidate registration hurdles, and constrained federal coverage that limit their path to the largest seat share. These dynamics align with the current implied probabilities favoring United Russia.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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