United Russia maintains a commanding position in the race for the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma election, supported by its incumbency advantages, control of single-member districts, and the mixed electoral system that allocates half the 450 mandates through party lists subject to a 5 percent threshold. Trader consensus assigns it the highest implied probability, reflecting consistent historical performance and ongoing preparations that include mobilizing public-sector workers and prioritizing war veterans as candidates. New People has gained recent polling traction in some surveys, positioning it as the leading contender for second place amid managed competition, though it trails significantly. Other parties such as the Communist Party of the Russian Federation and the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia show limited movement, consistent with stable but lower support levels in the current cycle.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日統一ロシア（ER） 61%
ニューピープル（NL） 29.9%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR） 5.3%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF） 3.0%
$8,237,880 Vol.
$8,237,880 Vol.
2026/09/30
統一ロシア（ER）
61%
ニューピープル（NL）
30%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR）
5%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF）
3%
公正ロシア・ための真実（SRZP）
1%
ロジーナ
<1%
シビック・プラットフォーム（GP）
<1%
統一ロシア（ER） 61%
ニューピープル（NL） 29.9%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR） 5.3%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF） 3.0%
$8,237,880 Vol.
$8,237,880 Vol.
2026/09/30
統一ロシア（ER）
$2,151,591 Vol.
61%
ニューピープル（NL）
$1,056,883 Vol.
30%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR）
$2,276,568 Vol.
5%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF）
$658,279 Vol.
3%
公正ロシア・ための真実（SRZP）
$574,590 Vol.
1%
ロジーナ
$936,839 Vol.
<1%
シビック・プラットフォーム（GP）
$583,145 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains a commanding position in the race for the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma election, supported by its incumbency advantages, control of single-member districts, and the mixed electoral system that allocates half the 450 mandates through party lists subject to a 5 percent threshold. Trader consensus assigns it the highest implied probability, reflecting consistent historical performance and ongoing preparations that include mobilizing public-sector workers and prioritizing war veterans as candidates. New People has gained recent polling traction in some surveys, positioning it as the leading contender for second place amid managed competition, though it trails significantly. Other parties such as the Communist Party of the Russian Federation and the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia show limited movement, consistent with stable but lower support levels in the current cycle.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
マーケット開始日： Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
音量
$8,237,880終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains a commanding position in the race for the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma election, supported by its incumbency advantages, control of single-member districts, and the mixed electoral system that allocates half the 450 mandates through party lists subject to a 5 percent threshold. Trader consensus assigns it the highest implied probability, reflecting consistent historical performance and ongoing preparations that include mobilizing public-sector workers and prioritizing war veterans as candidates. New People has gained recent polling traction in some surveys, positioning it as the leading contender for second place amid managed competition, though it trails significantly. Other parties such as the Communist Party of the Russian Federation and the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia show limited movement, consistent with stable but lower support levels in the current cycle.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
音量
$8,237,880終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains a commanding position in the race for the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma election, supported by its incumbency advantages, control of single-member districts, and the mixed electoral system that allocates half the 450 mandates through party lists subject to a 5 percent threshold. Trader consensus assigns it the highest implied probability, reflecting consistent historical performance and ongoing preparations that include mobilizing public-sector workers and prioritizing war veterans as candidates. New People has gained recent polling traction in some surveys, positioning it as the leading contender for second place amid managed competition, though it trails significantly. Other parties such as the Communist Party of the Russian Federation and the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia show limited movement, consistent with stable but lower support levels in the current cycle.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問