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Politics·Primaries

MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Matt Little 87%

Matt Klein 10%

Kaela Berg 4.8%

Polymarket

$34,038 Vol.

Matt Little 87%

Matt Klein 10%

Kaela Berg 4.8%

Polymarket

$34,038 Vol.

Matt Little

$21,948 Vol.

87%

Matt Klein

$9,150 Vol.

10%

Kaela Berg

$2,940 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Matt Little holds the clear lead in the MN-02 Democratic primary at 79.5% implied probability due to securing the DFL congressional district endorsement on the first ballot with 63% support at the May 2026 convention. This party backing, combined with his prior service as state senator and Lakeville mayor, has consolidated support ahead of the August 11 primary for the open seat vacated by Rep. Angie Craig. Matt Klein, a sitting state senator, trails at 13% amid competitive fundraising but limited organizational momentum, while state Rep. Kaela Berg remains at 4% with lower name recognition and resources. A May poll showed Little ahead at 41%, and earlier straw polls reinforced his edge; no major subsequent shifts have altered the trader consensus reflected in current pricing.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$34,038
終了日
2026/08/11
マーケット開始日
Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Matt Little holds the clear lead in the MN-02 Democratic primary at 79.5% implied probability due to securing the DFL congressional district endorsement on the first ballot with 63% support at the May 2026 convention. This party backing, combined with his prior service as state senator and Lakeville mayor, has consolidated support ahead of the August 11 primary for the open seat vacated by Rep. Angie Craig. Matt Klein, a sitting state senator, trails at 13% amid competitive fundraising but limited organizational momentum, while state Rep. Kaela Berg remains at 4% with lower name recognition and resources. A May poll showed Little ahead at 41%, and earlier straw polls reinforced his edge; no major subsequent shifts have altered the trader consensus reflected in current pricing.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$34,038
終了日
2026/08/11
マーケット開始日
Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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よくある質問

「MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Matt Little」で87%、次いで「Matt Klein」が10%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、87¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に87%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner」は$34Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Dec 1, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner」の現在のフロントランナーは「Matt Little」で87%であり、市場がこの結果に87%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Matt Klein」で10%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。