Skip to main content
icon for ある国は2026年にBRICSから離脱するでしょうか?

ある国は2026年にBRICSから離脱するでしょうか?

icon for ある国は2026年にBRICSから離脱するでしょうか?

ある国は2026年にBRICSから離脱するでしょうか?

12月 31

12月 31

はい

15% 確率
Polymarket
新規

はい

15% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.India’s assumption of the BRICS chairmanship on January 1, 2026, and its role hosting the foreign ministers’ meeting in New Delhi this May have reinforced institutional continuity and reduced exit risks. Recent sessions exposed divisions over the Iran conflict yet produced only a chair’s statement rather than any withdrawal signals, with all current full members—including the ten confirmed nations such as Indonesia and the UAE—continuing active participation. No official denunciations or formal exit notices have surfaced, and historical precedent shows no full member has departed since the group’s formation. These developments underpin the 85.5 percent trader consensus that no country will leave before year-end, reflecting sustained multilateral engagement despite internal policy differences.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal.

The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$5,757
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jan 7, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.India’s assumption of the BRICS chairmanship on January 1, 2026, and its role hosting the foreign ministers’ meeting in New Delhi this May have reinforced institutional continuity and reduced exit risks. Recent sessions exposed divisions over the Iran conflict yet produced only a chair’s statement rather than any withdrawal signals, with all current full members—including the ten confirmed nations such as Indonesia and the UAE—continuing active participation. No official denunciations or formal exit notices have surfaced, and historical precedent shows no full member has departed since the group’s formation. These developments underpin the 85.5 percent trader consensus that no country will leave before year-end, reflecting sustained multilateral engagement despite internal policy differences.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal.

The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$5,757
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jan 7, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ある国は2026年にBRICSから離脱するでしょうか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「2026年にBRICSから国が離脱しますか?」で15%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、15¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に15%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「ある国は2026年にBRICSから離脱するでしょうか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jan 7, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「ある国は2026年にBRICSから離脱するでしょうか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ある国は2026年にBRICSから離脱するでしょうか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「2026年にBRICSから国が離脱しますか?」で15%であり、市場がこの結果に15%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ある国は2026年にBRICSから離脱するでしょうか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。