Recent regional tensions, including reported UAE strikes on Iranian targets and ongoing fallout from the Gaza conflict, have slowed momentum for additional diplomatic normalization between Israel and Muslim-majority states. While Kazakhstan formally acceded in early 2026 and Somaliland pledged participation after its December 2025 recognition, trader consensus at 55.4% for no further accessions before 2027 reflects stalled talks with larger potential partners such as Saudi Arabia and Syria. Historical patterns show that sustained ceasefires and U.S. mediation often precede breakthroughs, yet current security concerns and coalition dynamics continue to outweigh these factors in assessments of near-term expansion.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$113,038 Vol.
$113,038 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$113,038 Vol.
$113,038 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Recent regional tensions, including reported UAE strikes on Iranian targets and ongoing fallout from the Gaza conflict, have slowed momentum for additional diplomatic normalization between Israel and Muslim-majority states. While Kazakhstan formally acceded in early 2026 and Somaliland pledged participation after its December 2025 recognition, trader consensus at 55.4% for no further accessions before 2027 reflects stalled talks with larger potential partners such as Saudi Arabia and Syria. Historical patterns show that sustained ceasefires and U.S. mediation often precede breakthroughs, yet current security concerns and coalition dynamics continue to outweigh these factors in assessments of near-term expansion.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ET
音量
$113,038終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Recent regional tensions, including reported UAE strikes on Iranian targets and ongoing fallout from the Gaza conflict, have slowed momentum for additional diplomatic normalization between Israel and Muslim-majority states. While Kazakhstan formally acceded in early 2026 and Somaliland pledged participation after its December 2025 recognition, trader consensus at 55.4% for no further accessions before 2027 reflects stalled talks with larger potential partners such as Saudi Arabia and Syria. Historical patterns show that sustained ceasefires and U.S. mediation often precede breakthroughs, yet current security concerns and coalition dynamics continue to outweigh these factors in assessments of near-term expansion.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$113,038終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent regional tensions, including reported UAE strikes on Iranian targets and ongoing fallout from the Gaza conflict, have slowed momentum for additional diplomatic normalization between Israel and Muslim-majority states. While Kazakhstan formally acceded in early 2026 and Somaliland pledged participation after its December 2025 recognition, trader consensus at 55.4% for no further accessions before 2027 reflects stalled talks with larger potential partners such as Saudi Arabia and Syria. Historical patterns show that sustained ceasefires and U.S. mediation often precede breakthroughs, yet current security concerns and coalition dynamics continue to outweigh these factors in assessments of near-term expansion.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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