Canada's federal government has maintained strict caps on non-permanent residents, international students, and temporary foreign workers through the 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan, targeting under 5% NPR share of the population by end-2027. This follows earlier reversals of pandemic-era inflows and has produced three consecutive quarterly population declines totaling over 234,000 since mid-2025, including a record 103,000 drop in Q4 2025. Statistics Canada and Parliamentary Budget Office data show net NPR outflows offsetting permanent resident gains, projecting flat or negative annual growth for 2026—the first such annual contraction on record. These sustained policy measures, aimed at easing housing and service pressures, underpin trader expectations that the full-year 2026 decline will exceed prior peaks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
はい
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Jan 29, 2026, 3:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Canada's federal government has maintained strict caps on non-permanent residents, international students, and temporary foreign workers through the 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan, targeting under 5% NPR share of the population by end-2027. This follows earlier reversals of pandemic-era inflows and has produced three consecutive quarterly population declines totaling over 234,000 since mid-2025, including a record 103,000 drop in Q4 2025. Statistics Canada and Parliamentary Budget Office data show net NPR outflows offsetting permanent resident gains, projecting flat or negative annual growth for 2026—the first such annual contraction on record. These sustained policy measures, aimed at easing housing and service pressures, underpin trader expectations that the full-year 2026 decline will exceed prior peaks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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