Iran’s next regularly scheduled presidential election remains set for 2028 under the four-year term established after Masoud Pezeshkian’s 2024 victory. Early contests require formal triggers such as the president’s death, resignation, or incapacity, or a decision by the Supreme Leader and Guardian Council. The February 2026 assassination of Ali Khamenei and subsequent March selection of Mojtaba Khamenei by the Assembly of Experts produced rapid leadership continuity without any parallel move to shorten the presidential timeline. Recent political reporting indicates no active legislative or institutional push to advance the vote, keeping the probability of an election before late 2026 or 2027 low in trader assessments. Key variables to monitor include any future health developments affecting the president or new supreme leader, major domestic unrest, or shifts in Assembly of Experts guidance on electoral timing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$767,367 Vol.
2026/12/31
12月31日
5%
$767,367 Vol.
12月31日
$153 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran’s next regularly scheduled presidential election remains set for 2028 under the four-year term established after Masoud Pezeshkian’s 2024 victory. Early contests require formal triggers such as the president’s death, resignation, or incapacity, or a decision by the Supreme Leader and Guardian Council. The February 2026 assassination of Ali Khamenei and subsequent March selection of Mojtaba Khamenei by the Assembly of Experts produced rapid leadership continuity without any parallel move to shorten the presidential timeline. Recent political reporting indicates no active legislative or institutional push to advance the vote, keeping the probability of an election before late 2026 or 2027 low in trader assessments. Key variables to monitor include any future health developments affecting the president or new supreme leader, major domestic unrest, or shifts in Assembly of Experts guidance on electoral timing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
音量
$767,367終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran’s next regularly scheduled presidential election remains set for 2028 under the four-year term established after Masoud Pezeshkian’s 2024 victory. Early contests require formal triggers such as the president’s death, resignation, or incapacity, or a decision by the Supreme Leader and Guardian Council. The February 2026 assassination of Ali Khamenei and subsequent March selection of Mojtaba Khamenei by the Assembly of Experts produced rapid leadership continuity without any parallel move to shorten the presidential timeline. Recent political reporting indicates no active legislative or institutional push to advance the vote, keeping the probability of an election before late 2026 or 2027 low in trader assessments. Key variables to monitor include any future health developments affecting the president or new supreme leader, major domestic unrest, or shifts in Assembly of Experts guidance on electoral timing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$767,367終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran’s next regularly scheduled presidential election remains set for 2028 under the four-year term established after Masoud Pezeshkian’s 2024 victory. Early contests require formal triggers such as the president’s death, resignation, or incapacity, or a decision by the Supreme Leader and Guardian Council. The February 2026 assassination of Ali Khamenei and subsequent March selection of Mojtaba Khamenei by the Assembly of Experts produced rapid leadership continuity without any parallel move to shorten the presidential timeline. Recent political reporting indicates no active legislative or institutional push to advance the vote, keeping the probability of an election before late 2026 or 2027 low in trader assessments. Key variables to monitor include any future health developments affecting the president or new supreme leader, major domestic unrest, or shifts in Assembly of Experts guidance on electoral timing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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