Skip to main content
icon for トランプは踊りますか... ?

トランプは踊りますか... ?

icon for トランプは踊りますか... ?

トランプは踊りますか... ?

新規
2026/07/01
Polymarket

$7,921 Vol.

Polymarket

6月27日

$0 Vol.

43%

6月16日

$50 Vol.

29%

6月12日

$6 Vol.

31%

6月17日

$50 Vol.

21%

6月29日

$0 Vol.

30%

6月14日

$430 Vol.

48%

6月15日

$56 Vol.

28%

6月18日

$50 Vol.

28%

6月22日

$0 Vol.

29%

6月20日

$50 Vol.

27%

6月9日

$441 Vol.

1%

6月24日

$0 Vol.

39%

6月28日

$0 Vol.

29%

6月19日

$69 Vol.

28%

6月25日

$0 Vol.

30%

6月30日

$0 Vol.

30%

6月10日

$50 Vol.

31%

6月13日

$0 Vol.

30%

6月21日

$50 Vol.

36%

6月26日

$0 Vol.

29%

6月11日

$50 Vol.

30%

6月23日

$0 Vol.

27%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.Trump's well-documented habit of breaking into rhythmic movement at rallies, UFC events, and other high-energy public appearances with music drives trader interest in these daily or event-specific markets. Recent clips from appearances like the Rome, Georgia U.S. Steel event and various 2026 rallies have shown his signature swaying and stepping, creating momentum for "yes" outcomes when schedules include beats or celebratory atmospheres. Key upcoming catalysts include UFC Freedom 250 and any White House or campaign stops featuring live music or DJ sets, where historical patterns suggest higher likelihood. Traders weigh confirmed schedules against the unpredictability of whether conditions will prompt deliberate dancing, with sentiment shifting quickly on viral footage or last-minute program changes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.

AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.

Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.

This market will resolve based on video footage.
音量
$7,921
終了日
2026/07/01
マーケット開始日
Jun 2, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.Trump's well-documented habit of breaking into rhythmic movement at rallies, UFC events, and other high-energy public appearances with music drives trader interest in these daily or event-specific markets. Recent clips from appearances like the Rome, Georgia U.S. Steel event and various 2026 rallies have shown his signature swaying and stepping, creating momentum for "yes" outcomes when schedules include beats or celebratory atmospheres. Key upcoming catalysts include UFC Freedom 250 and any White House or campaign stops featuring live music or DJ sets, where historical patterns suggest higher likelihood. Traders weigh confirmed schedules against the unpredictability of whether conditions will prompt deliberate dancing, with sentiment shifting quickly on viral footage or last-minute program changes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.

AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.

Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.

This market will resolve based on video footage.
音量
$7,921
終了日
2026/07/01
マーケット開始日
Jun 2, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「トランプは踊りますか... ?」はPolymarket上の28個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「6月5日」で100%、次いで「6月14日」が48%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「トランプは踊りますか... ?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jun 2, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「トランプは踊りますか... ?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている28個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「トランプは踊りますか... ?」の現在のフロントランナーは「6月5日」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「6月14日」で48%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「トランプは踊りますか... ?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。