Bank of Canada traders assign a 96% implied probability to no change at the June 10, 2026 meeting, reflecting the central bank’s April 29 hold at the 2.25% policy rate and its explicit stance of patience amid elevated energy prices from the Middle East conflict. Recent March inflation data showed a temporary surge driven by oil, yet core measures remained contained and GDP growth forecasts stayed subdued at roughly 1.2% for 2026, supporting the view that monetary policy is appropriately calibrated. Forward curves on CORRA futures align with this consensus, pricing only modest tightening later in the year. The positioning could shift if incoming CPI or labor-market releases reveal persistent second-round inflation effects or if U.S. tariff developments materially weaken Canadian growth, but current data and Bank communications continue to anchor expectations for stability.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트No change 96.0%
Increase 2.9%
25 bps decrease 1.4%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$26,429 거래량
$26,429 거래량
2026.06.10
50+ bps decrease
1%
25 bps decrease
1%
No change
96%
Increase
3%
No change 96.0%
Increase 2.9%
25 bps decrease 1.4%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$26,429 거래량
$26,429 거래량
2026.06.10
50+ bps decrease
$4,584 거래량
1%
25 bps decrease
$4,363 거래량
1%
No change
$9,472 거래량
96%
Increase
$8,011 거래량
3%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Bank of Canada traders assign a 96% implied probability to no change at the June 10, 2026 meeting, reflecting the central bank’s April 29 hold at the 2.25% policy rate and its explicit stance of patience amid elevated energy prices from the Middle East conflict. Recent March inflation data showed a temporary surge driven by oil, yet core measures remained contained and GDP growth forecasts stayed subdued at roughly 1.2% for 2026, supporting the view that monetary policy is appropriately calibrated. Forward curves on CORRA futures align with this consensus, pricing only modest tightening later in the year. The positioning could shift if incoming CPI or labor-market releases reveal persistent second-round inflation effects or if U.S. tariff developments materially weaken Canadian growth, but current data and Bank communications continue to anchor expectations for stability.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
마켓 개설일: Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ET
거래량
$26,429종료일
2026.06.10마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Bank of Canada traders assign a 96% implied probability to no change at the June 10, 2026 meeting, reflecting the central bank’s April 29 hold at the 2.25% policy rate and its explicit stance of patience amid elevated energy prices from the Middle East conflict. Recent March inflation data showed a temporary surge driven by oil, yet core measures remained contained and GDP growth forecasts stayed subdued at roughly 1.2% for 2026, supporting the view that monetary policy is appropriately calibrated. Forward curves on CORRA futures align with this consensus, pricing only modest tightening later in the year. The positioning could shift if incoming CPI or labor-market releases reveal persistent second-round inflation effects or if U.S. tariff developments materially weaken Canadian growth, but current data and Bank communications continue to anchor expectations for stability.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
거래량
$26,429종료일
2026.06.10마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Bank of Canada traders assign a 96% implied probability to no change at the June 10, 2026 meeting, reflecting the central bank’s April 29 hold at the 2.25% policy rate and its explicit stance of patience amid elevated energy prices from the Middle East conflict. Recent March inflation data showed a temporary surge driven by oil, yet core measures remained contained and GDP growth forecasts stayed subdued at roughly 1.2% for 2026, supporting the view that monetary policy is appropriately calibrated. Forward curves on CORRA futures align with this consensus, pricing only modest tightening later in the year. The positioning could shift if incoming CPI or labor-market releases reveal persistent second-round inflation effects or if U.S. tariff developments materially weaken Canadian growth, but current data and Bank communications continue to anchor expectations for stability.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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