Daniel Vilela (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in March 2026 following Ronaldo Caiado’s resignation to pursue a presidential bid, holds an 82.5% implied probability as the clear frontrunner. Multiple recent polls, including those from Quaest, Paraná Pesquisas, and Directa, show him leading first-round intentions by double-digit margins over Marconi Perillo (PSDB), Wilder Morais (PL), and Adriana Accorsi (PT), reflecting continuity with Caiado’s high-approval administration and MDB organizational strength. The fragmented opposition field and Vilela’s early consolidation of center-right support and business endorsements have reinforced trader consensus on his path to victory in the October 4 election, while lower probabilities for challengers reflect their weaker polling and limited momentum in the current cycle.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트다니엘 비렐라 77%
마르코니 페릴로 19%
반데를란 카르도주 12.3%
윌더 모라이스 11%
신규
신규
다니엘 비렐라
77%
마르코니 페릴로
11%
반데를란 카르도주
12%
윌더 모라이스
11%
아드리아나 아코르시
11%
다니엘 비렐라 77%
마르코니 페릴로 19%
반데를란 카르도주 12.3%
윌더 모라이스 11%
신규
신규
다니엘 비렐라
$316 거래량
77%
마르코니 페릴로
$163 거래량
11%
반데를란 카르도주
$244 거래량
12%
윌더 모라이스
$167 거래량
11%
아드리아나 아코르시
$222 거래량
11%
The Goiás gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Daniel Vilela (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in March 2026 following Ronaldo Caiado’s resignation to pursue a presidential bid, holds an 82.5% implied probability as the clear frontrunner. Multiple recent polls, including those from Quaest, Paraná Pesquisas, and Directa, show him leading first-round intentions by double-digit margins over Marconi Perillo (PSDB), Wilder Morais (PL), and Adriana Accorsi (PT), reflecting continuity with Caiado’s high-approval administration and MDB organizational strength. The fragmented opposition field and Vilela’s early consolidation of center-right support and business endorsements have reinforced trader consensus on his path to victory in the October 4 election, while lower probabilities for challengers reflect their weaker polling and limited momentum in the current cycle.
The Goiás gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
마켓 개설일: Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET
거래량
$1,113마켓 개설일
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Goiás gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Daniel Vilela (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in March 2026 following Ronaldo Caiado’s resignation to pursue a presidential bid, holds an 82.5% implied probability as the clear frontrunner. Multiple recent polls, including those from Quaest, Paraná Pesquisas, and Directa, show him leading first-round intentions by double-digit margins over Marconi Perillo (PSDB), Wilder Morais (PL), and Adriana Accorsi (PT), reflecting continuity with Caiado’s high-approval administration and MDB organizational strength. The fragmented opposition field and Vilela’s early consolidation of center-right support and business endorsements have reinforced trader consensus on his path to victory in the October 4 election, while lower probabilities for challengers reflect their weaker polling and limited momentum in the current cycle.
The Goiás gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
거래량
$1,113마켓 개설일
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Daniel Vilela (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in March 2026 following Ronaldo Caiado’s resignation to pursue a presidential bid, holds an 82.5% implied probability as the clear frontrunner. Multiple recent polls, including those from Quaest, Paraná Pesquisas, and Directa, show him leading first-round intentions by double-digit margins over Marconi Perillo (PSDB), Wilder Morais (PL), and Adriana Accorsi (PT), reflecting continuity with Caiado’s high-approval administration and MDB organizational strength. The fragmented opposition field and Vilela’s early consolidation of center-right support and business endorsements have reinforced trader consensus on his path to victory in the October 4 election, while lower probabilities for challengers reflect their weaker polling and limited momentum in the current cycle.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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